Model verdict
AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.36 — +2.0% better than the market.
AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.36 — +2.0% better than the market.
Bayern München won 5–1 away at Pafos. At half-time it was 1–4.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.95 to 0.37. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 6, 15 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 10 saves.
On the scoresheet: Harry Kane (15'), Raphaël Guerreiro (20'), Nicolas Jackson (31'), Harry Kane (34'), Mislav Oršić (45'), Michael Olise (68').
Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 5 landed and 0 missed, for a net +1.95 units (Brier 0.060).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away Win | 1.14 | — | 88% | Cashed | +0.14 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.36 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.36 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 2.41 | — | 55% | Cashed | +1.41 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.03 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.03 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 1.01 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| Total · 5 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 5 W · 0 L | +1.95u | +39% ROI |