Galatasaray vs Liverpool 1:0: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Tue 30 Sep · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Referee Clement Turpin, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 60% · book 1.67
✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.50
✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.42
✗
xG (open play)
1.32 – 1.78
Δ −0.46
AI accuracy
0 / 5
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
Liverpool enters this match as the clear favorite given their stronger overall quality and recent form. They have a notable edge in attack versus Galatasaray's defense, while Galatasaray's home advantage is moderate but insufficient to offset Liverpool's superiority. The recent form slightly favors Liverpool as well. Expect Liverpool to control the game and likely secure a win. Goals are expected, with a good chance both teams will score. The match pace hints at a moderately high-scoring affair, with over 2.5 goals being a reasonable expectation.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
GAL 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
GAL 1
– 0 LIV
1.32
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.78
68%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
⏱ Match events
18 · 1 – 0
Victor Osimhen (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
16'
45+3'
▮
Ryan Gravenberch
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
56'
⇄
Giorgi Mamardashvili ↓ · Alisson ↑
Substitution 1
Abdülkerim Bardakçı
Yellow Card
▮
61'
62'
⇄
Conor Bradley ↓ · Jeremie Frimpong ↑
Substitution 2
62'
⇄
Alexander Isak ↓ · Ryan Gravenberch ↑
Substitution 3
62'
⇄
Mohamed Salah ↓ · Cody Gakpo ↑
Substitution 4
68'
⇄
Alexis Mac Allister ↓ · Hugo Ekitiké ↑
Substitution 5
Roland Sallai ↓ · Yunus Akgün ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
72'
Mauro Icardi ↓ · Victor Osimhen ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
73'
▮
Conor Bradley
Yellow Card
Gabriel Sara ↓ · İlkay Gündoğan ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
Ismail Jakobs
Yellow Card
▮
76'
Eren Elmalı ↓ · Barış Alper Yılmaz ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
Uğurcan Çakır
Yellow Card
▮
88'
Full-time · 1 – 0
Match recap
Galatasaray beat Liverpool 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: Victor Osimhen (16').
Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 0 landed and 5 missed, for a net -5.00 units (Brier 0.361).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
5 · 0 W · 5 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Away Win |
1.67 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.50 |
— |
65% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.42 |
— |
62% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.29 |
— |
55% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.22 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 5 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
0 W · 5 L |
−5.00u |
−100% ROI |
