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⚽ Football 57 ＋ Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football › World › UEFA Champions League › Marseille — Ajax

Match Marseille vs Ajax September 30, 2025

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L W W L L
Kick-off
Tue 30 Sep · 19:00
4:0
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
L L W W L Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 66% · book 1.52 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.60 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.79 ✗
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
1.15 – 0.73
Δ +0.42
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
4 / 5
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Marseille holds a slight edge at home against Ajax, showing stronger recent form and a better balance between attack and defense. The home side is favored to win, with a moderate chance of a draw. Both teams have shown ability to score, so a goal-scoring game is likely. The total goals are expected to be over 2.5, reflecting an open match with attacking intent from both sides.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAR 4-2-3-1 · AJA 4-3-3
MAR · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · AJA 1 Rulli 28 Pavard 21 Aguerd 32 Medina 33 Palmieri 17 O'Riley 18 Vermeeren 10 Greenwood ⚽ 26 Nadir 14 Paixão ⚽ 97 Aubameyang ⚽ 1 Jaroš 2 Rosa 4 Itakura 15 Baas 5 Wijndal 18 Klaassen 6 Regeer 8 Taylor 23 Berghuis 10 Gloukh 11 Godts
Subs used · MAR
36' Egan-Riley ↑ · Medina ↓
46' Weah ↑ · Nadir ↓
62' Gomes ↑ · Paixão ↓
62' Højbjerg ↑ · O'Riley ↓
82' Murillo ↑ · Vermeeren ↓
Subs used · AJA
23' Mokio ↑ · Regeer ↓
46' Edvardsen ↑ · Berghuis ↓
55' Šutalo ↑ · Baas ↓
55' Gaaei ↑ · Wijndal ↓
84' Moro ↑ · Godts ↓

📊 Statistics

MAR 4 – 0 AJA
48%
Possession (%)
52%
1.15
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.73
9
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
5
5
Shots Inside Box
7
0
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
2
18
Fouls
12
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

19 · 4 – 0
Igor Paixão
Assist · Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · 1–0
⚽
6'
Igor Paixão
Assist · Arthur Vermeeren · 2–0
⚽
12'
23'
⇄
Jorthy Mokio ↓ · Youri Regeer ↑
Substitution 1
Mason Greenwood
Assist · Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · 3–0
⚽
26'
34'
▮
Lucas Rosa
Yellow Card
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley ↓ · Facundo Medina ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
36'
Half-time · 3 – 0
Timothy Weah ↓ · Bilal Nadir ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
Oliver Edvardsen ↓ · Steven Berghuis ↑
Substitution 2
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Assist · Igor Paixão · 4–0
⚽
52'
55'
⇄
Josip Šutalo ↓ · Youri Baas ↑
Substitution 3
55'
⇄
Anton Gaaei ↓ · Owen Wijndal ↑
Substitution 4
Angel Gomes ↓ · Igor Paixão ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg ↓ · Matt O'Riley ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
62'
66'
▮
Ko Itakura
Yellow Card
76'
▮
Anton Gaaei
Yellow Card
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Yellow Card
▮
79'
Amir Murillo ↓ · Arthur Vermeeren ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
82'
84'
⇄
Raúl Moro ↓ · Mika Godts ↑
Substitution 5
Nayef Aguerd
Yellow Card
▮
88'
Full-time · 4 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 4 W · 1 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.52 — 66% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.60 — 63% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.79 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.21 — 83% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.14 — 88% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each — — — 4 W · 1 L +0.47u +9% ROI