Match Leeds vs Arsenal January 31, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.97 — +10.2% better than the market.

Arsenal enter Elland Road with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger attack and defense compared to Leeds. Despite Leeds' slightly better recent form, Arsenal's superior firepower and tactical discipline suggest they can control the game. The home side's defensive resilience may keep things tight, but Arsenal's pressing and creativity likely tilt the balance.

Arsenal's attacking threat vs Leeds' defense
Leeds' home momentum but limited offensive edge
Potential for a moderately open game with goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.97 ✓ Cashed

AI 56% Implied 51% +0.97u

+97%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEE 3-4-2-1 · ARS 4-2-3-1

LEE · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · ARS

9 Calvert-Lewin

Subs used · LEE

46'

Longstaff ↑ ·

Justin ↓

46'

Okafor ↑ ·

Gruev ↓

71'

Buonanotte ↑ ·

Aaronson ↓

81'

Gnonto ↑ ·

Stach ↓

85'

Piroe ↑ ·

Calvert-Lewin ↓

Subs used · ARS

61'

Odegaard ↑ ·

Havertz ↓

61'

Martinelli ↑ ·

Madueke ↓

75'

Calafiori ↑ ·

Hincapie ↓

76'

Jesus ↑ ·

Gyökeres ↓

81'

Eze ↑ ·

Trossard ↓

📊 Statistics

LEE 0 – 4 ARS

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.15

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.39

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 0 – 4

27'

⚽

M. Zubimendi

Assist · N. Madueke · 0–1

Gabriel Gudmundsson

Yellow Card

▮

37'

38'

⚽

N. Madueke

0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

S. Longstaff ↓ · J. Justin ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

N. Okafor ↓ · I. Gruev ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

59'

▮

Jurriën Timber

Yellow Card

61'

⇄

M. Odegaard ↓ · K. Havertz ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

G. Martinelli ↓ · N. Madueke ↑

Substitution 2

69'

⚽

V. Gyokeres

Assist · G. Martinelli · 0–3

F. Buonanotte ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

75'

⇄

R. Calafiori ↓ · P. Hincapie ↑

Substitution 3

76'

⇄

Gabriel Jesus ↓ · V. Gyökeres ↑

Substitution 4

W. Gnonto ↓ · A. Stach ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

⇄

E. Eze ↓ · L. Trossard ↑

Substitution 5

J. Piroe ↓ · D. Calvert-Lewin ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

86'

⚽

Gabriel Jesus

Assist · M. Odegaard · 0–4

Full-time · 0 – 4

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.97	—	56%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.06	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.97	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.64	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.87	—	46%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Away Win	1.57	—	67%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.55	—	34%	Cashed	+2.55	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.15	—	89%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.20	—	67%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	78%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	4.46	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.75	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	5.05	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.32u	−20% ROI