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⚽ Football 57 ＋ Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Auxerre — Nice
France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 D L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 19:00
2:1
Full-time
Nice
Nice
D D D L D Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps · Auxerre Referee François Letexier, France
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.97 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 68% · book 1.60 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.15 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.72 – 1.23
Δ −0.51
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.97 — +11.6% better than the market.

Auxerre hosts Nice in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but Auxerre’s home form and defensive solidity could keep things tight. The home side’s compact block and disciplined shape may blunt Nice’s more potent attack, suggesting a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances.

  • Auxerre’s home momentum and defensive resilience
  • Nice’s attacking threat facing a tough defensive test
  • Balanced recent form with a tendency towards draws

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.97 ✗ Lost
AI 57% Implied 51% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AUX 4-3-3 · NIC 5-4-1
AUX · 4-3-3 5-4-1 · NIC 16 Leon 27 Sy 20 Diomande 24 Okoh 14 Mensah 8 Ahamada 42 Owusu 5 Danois 10 Sinayoko ⚽ 9 Mara ⚽ 19 Namaso 80 Diouf 92 Clauss 33 Mendy 28 Bah 37 Peprah 26 Bard 8 Sanson 99 Abdul Samed 6 Boudaoui 10 Diop ⚽ 25 Cho
Subs used · AUX
13' Akpa ↑ · Okoh ↓
71' Senaya ↑ · Sy ↓
86' Cissokho ↑ · Namaso ↓
86' Casimir ↑ · Mara ↓
Subs used · NIC
59' Abdi ↑ · Bard ↓
59' Louchet ↑ · Abdul Samed ↓
76' Wahi ↑ · Cho ↓
76' Kevin ↑ · Sanson ↓
81' Jansson ↑ · Diop ↓

📊 Statistics

AUX 2 – 1 NIC
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.72
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.23
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
8
10
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
9
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
1
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 1
9'
⚽
S. Diop
0–1
C. Akpa ↓ · B. Okoh ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
13'
S. Mara
1–1
⚽
27'
Half-time · 1 – 1
59'
⇄
A. Abdi ↓ · M. Bard ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
T. Louchet ↓ · S. Abdul Samed ↑
Substitution 2
L. Sinayoko
Assist · N. Ahamada · 2–1
⚽
70'
M. Senaya ↓ · L. Sy ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
71'
76'
⇄
E. Wahi ↓ · M. Cho ↑
Substitution 3
76'
⇄
Kevin ↓ · M. Sanson ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⇄
I. Jansson ↓ · S. Diop ↑
Substitution 5
M. Cissokho ↓ · D. Namaso ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
86'
J. Casimir ↓ · S. Mara ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
J. Casimir
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.97 1.91 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.60 1.55 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 2.06 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.17 2.15 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.97 1.91 43% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 1.71 49% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Home Win 2.50 2.39 32% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.80 1.74 32% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Away Win 3.05 2.95 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 3.60 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.43 1.38 58% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 3.19 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 10.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 1.31 76% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 1.02 90% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.50 3.34 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 1.26 69% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.91u −23% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
AUX – NIC @ 1.97
+11.6%
Edge
Forecast →