Auxerre vs Angers 3:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.74 — +12.1% better than the market.

Auxerre hosts Angers in a Ligue 1 clash where defensive solidity might dominate. Auxerre's home edge is modest but notable, supported by a compact defensive block that has limited opponents effectively. Both sides show similar quality, but Auxerre's recent home form and slightly better attacking matchup suggest a tight contest with few clear-cut chances.

Auxerre's defensive resilience contrasts with Angers' moderate offensive threat.
Recent form favors Auxerre marginally, hinting at home momentum.
Odds and past meetings suggest a low-scoring, tactical battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.74 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

AUX 4-3-3 · ANG 4-2-3-1

AUX · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · ANG

19 Namaso

Subs used · AUX

78'

Akpa ↑ ·

Mensah ↓

79'

Casimir ↑ ·

Ahamada ↓

79'

Coulibaly ↑ ·

Mara ↓

87'

Dioussé ↑ ·

Danois ↓

90'

Cissokho ↑ ·

Namaso ↓

Subs used · ANG

62'

Mouton ↑ ·

Capelle ↓

62'

Koyalipou ↑ ·

Peter ↓

71'

Machine ↑ ·

Louer ↓

86'

Hanin ↑ ·

Boomen ↓

86'

Arcus ↑ ·

Raolisoa ↓

Statistics

AUX 3 – 1 ANG

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.12

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

22 · 3 – 1

Sékou Mara

1–0

⚽

12'

45+1'

▮

Amine Sbai

Yellow Card

45+1'

▮

Amine Sbai

Yellow Card

45+1'

▮

Amine Sbai

Red Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

Bryan Okoh

Yellow Card

▮

49'

51'

⚽

Branco Van den Boomen (P)

Penalty · 1–1

53'

▮

Pierrick Capelle

Yellow Card

Sékou Mara

Assist · Lassine Sinayoko · 2–1

⚽

61'

62'

⇄

Louis Mouton ↓ · Pierrick Capelle ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⇄

Goduine Koyalipou ↓ · Prosper Peter ↑

Substitution 2

Lassine Sinayoko

Assist · Sékou Mara · 3–1

⚽

67'

Lassine Sinayoko

Yellow Card

▮

68'

71'

⇄

Lanroy Machine ↓ · Marius Louer ↑

Substitution 3

77'

⚽

Goduine Koyalipou (P)

Penalty · 3–2

Clement Akpa ↓ · Gideon Mensah ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

78'

Josué Casimir ↓ · Naouirou Ahamada ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

79'

Lasso Coulibaly ↓ · Sékou Mara ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

79'

86'

⇄

Florent Hanin ↓ · Branco Van den Boomen ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

Carlens Arcus ↓ · Lilian Raolisoa ↑

Substitution 5

Assane Dioussé ↓ · Kévin Danois ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

87'

Mamoudou Cissokho ↓ · Danny Namaso ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

90+6'

▮

Carlens Arcus

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Auxerre beat Angers 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 10 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Sékou Mara (12'), Sékou Mara (61'), Lassine Sinayoko (67'), Goduine Koyalipou (77'). Amine Sbai was sent off in the 45+1' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.91 units (Brier 0.254).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.74	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.11	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.73	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.81	—	48%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.10	—	40%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.27	—	36%	Cashed	+1.27	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.20	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.50	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	73%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.25	—	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.70	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	87%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.76	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.36	—	62%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	—	18%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.27	—	48%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.91u	−11% ROI

Auxerre vs Angers 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled