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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lens — Toulouse

Match Lens vs Toulouse April 17, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Fri 17 Apr · 18:45
3:2
Full-time
Toulouse
Toulouse
L L D W W Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee Jeremie Pignard, France
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 66% · book 1.63
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.75
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 55% · book 1.82
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
3.77 – 0.41
Δ +3.36
Possession
78% – 22%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lens enter this Ligue 1 clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a robust defensive setup that challenges Toulouse's moderate attack. Their recent form shows resilience despite some inconsistency, while Toulouse's away struggles and lower offensive threat suggest a tough outing.

  • Lens's pressing and compact block limit Toulouse's chances.
  • Home side's attacking edge could exploit Toulouse's defensive gaps.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring disciplined play over frantic end-to-end action.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEN 3-4-2-1 · TOU 3-4-2-1
Subs used · LEN
55' Saint-Maximin ↑ · Said
55' Edouard ↑ · Fofana
72' Thauvin ↑ · Sotoca
85' Baidoo ↑ · Masuaku
85' Bulatovic ↑ · Thomasson
Subs used · TOU
46' Demba ↑ · Hidalgo
64' Russell-Rowe ↑ · Emersonn
64' Methalie ↑ · Donnum
72' Sidibe ↑ · Cresswell
76' Sauer ↑ · Vossah

📊 Statistics

LEN 32 TOU
78%
Possession (%)
22%
3.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.41
42
Total Shots
5
13
Shots on Target
2
19
Shots off Target
1
28
Shots Inside Box
3
14
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
15
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
63%
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Match events

18 · 3 – 2
6'
C. Casseres
0–1
13'
S. Koumbassa
Assist · S. Hidalgo · 0–2
17'
Yann Gboho
Red Card
Arthur Masuaku
Yellow Card
45'
Half-time · 0 – 2
46'
P. Demba ↓ · S. Hidalgo ↑
Substitution 1
A. Saint-Maximin ↓ · W. Said ↑
Substitution 1
55'
O. Edouard ↓ · R. Fofana ↑
Substitution 2
55'
S. Abdulhamid
Assist · A. Saint-Maximin · 1–2
61'
64'
J. Russell-Rowe ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 2
64'
D. Methalie ↓ · A. Donnum ↑
Substitution 3
A. Thomasson
2–2
67'
F. Thauvin ↓ · F. Sotoca ↑
Substitution 3
72'
72'
D. Sidibe ↓ · C. Cresswell ↑
Substitution 4
76'
M. Sauer ↓ · A. Vossah ↑
Substitution 5
S. Baidoo ↓ · A. Masuaku ↑
Substitution 4
85'
A. Bulatovic ↓ · A. Thomasson ↑
Substitution 5
85'
88'
Mario Sauer
Yellow Card
I. Ganiou
Assist · A. Bulatovic · 3–2
90'
Full-time · 3 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.63 66% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.75 59% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.82 55% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.25 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.48 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.88 37% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.17 88% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.48 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.23 66% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 81% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Draw 4.50 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.40 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.04 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.49 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.24u −25% ROI