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Home France Ligue 1 Metz — Paris FC

Predictions Metz vs Paris FC April 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 15:15
1:3
Full-time
Paris FC
Paris FC
W L W L W Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Jeremy Stinat, France
Home Win · MET
21%
Best 3.13
Draw
26%
Best 3.45
Away Win · PAR
54%
Best 2.25
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.05
Fair odds
1.82
book 2.05 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 55% · EV +12.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.63
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 20.6%
Odds 3.63
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 29.1%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 9.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 20.6%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MET – PAR @ 2.05
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →