P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Lyon

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon 1:2: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
W W W L L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Jérôme Brisard, France
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 55% · book 1.84 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.78 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.12 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
2.88 – 0.70
Δ +2.18
Possession
77% – 23%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.19 — +4.0% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a significant quality edge over Lyon. Their potent attack faces a less resilient Lyon defense, suggesting PSG’s pressing and creativity could dominate. Lyon’s recent form shows inconsistency, and PSG’s compact block at Parc des Princes should limit their chances. Expect a controlled pace with opportunities for PSG to capitalize on set-pieces and quick transitions.

  • PSG’s home edge in defense and attack
  • Lyon’s shaky recent form and defensive struggles
  • Likely moderate tempo favoring PSG’s tactical control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 6.19 ✗ Lost
AI 17% Implied 16% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · LYO 4-3-1-2
PSG · 4-3-3 4-3-1-2 · LYO 39 Safonov 2 Hakimi 6 Zabarnyi 51 Pacho 21 Hernandez 24 Mayulu 4 Beraldo 17 Vitinha 14 Doué 9 Ramos 29 Barcola 1 Greif 98 Maitland-Niles 22 Mata 19 Niakhaté 21 Kluivert 23 Morton 5 Mangala 16 Vinícius 44 Merah 9 Endrick ⚽ 17 Moreira ⚽
Subs used · PSG
39' Zaire-Emery ↑ · Vitinha ↓
59' Dembele ↑ · Ramos ↓
59' Kvaratskhelia ↑ · Doue ↓
59' Kang-In ↑ · Mayulu ↓
72' Ruiz ↑ · Barcola ↓
Subs used · LYO
60' Hateboer ↑ · Kluivert ↓
79' Tessmann ↑ · Mangala ↓
79' Karabec ↑ · Endrick ↓
85' Kamara ↑ · Merah ↓

Statistics

PSG 1 – 2 LYO
77%
Possession (%)
23%
2.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.70
23
Total Shots
5
6
Shots on Target
5
10
Shots off Target
0
17
Shots Inside Box
4
13
Corner Kicks
5
10
Fouls
8
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
5
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

18 · 1 – 2
6'
⚽
Endrick
Assist · A. Moreira · 0–1
13'
▮
Ruben Kluivert
Yellow Card
18'
⚽
A. Moreira
Assist · Endrick · 0–2
Ilya Zabarnyi
Yellow Card
▮
29'
Lucas Beraldo
Yellow Card
▮
30'
W. Zaire-Emery ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
39'
Half-time · 0 – 2
O. Dembele ↓ · G. Ramos ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
59'
K. Kvaratskhelia ↓ · D. Doue ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
59'
Lee Kang-In ↓ · S. Mayulu ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
59'
60'
⇄
H. Hateboer ↓ · R. Kluivert ↑
Substitution 1
Kang-in Lee
Yellow Card
▮
65'
Lucas Hernandez
Yellow Card
▮
68'
F. Ruiz ↓ · B. Barcola ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
72'
79'
⇄
T. Tessmann ↓ · O. Mangala ↑
Substitution 2
79'
⇄
A. Karabec ↓ · Endrick ↑
Substitution 3
85'
⇄
N. Kamara ↓ · K. Merah ↑
Substitution 4
K. Kvaratskhelia
Assist · F. Ruiz · 1–2
⚽
90'
Fabián Ruiz
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Lyon won 2–1 away at Paris Saint Germain. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 77% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.88 to 0.70. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 5, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 13 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Endrick (6'), A. Moreira (18'), K. Kvaratskhelia (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +10.66 units (Brier 0.316).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.84 — 55% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.78 — 56% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.12 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.08 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.09 — 93% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.00 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.33 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.44 — 66% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.19 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.50 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 — 85% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 0.5 23.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.68 — 24% Cashed +2.68 Cashed
Away Win 9.75 — 7% Cashed +8.75 Cashed
AH Away 0 7.00 — 7% Cashed +6.00 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +10.66u +63% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
PSG – LYO @ 6.19
+4.0%
Edge
Forecast →