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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lorient — Lens

Match Lorient vs Lens March 14, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 W L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 16:00
2:1
Full-time
Lens
Lens
D D W L W Away · last 5
Stade du Moustoir · Lorient Referee Thomas Leonard, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 59% · book 1.92
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.89
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 57% · book 1.75
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.45 – 1.35
Δ +0.10
Possession
34% – 66%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lens enter this clash with a clear quality edge and recent momentum, boasting a stronger attack and defense compared to Lorient. Despite Lorient's home comfort, Lens' pressing and tactical discipline could disrupt the hosts' rhythm. The home side's recent form shows resilience, but Lens' sharper offensive threat and compact block suggest they may control key phases.

  • Lens' superior defensive solidity challenges Lorient's attack
  • Lorient's home edge is moderate but offset by Lens' form
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic transitions

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LOR 3-4-2-1 · LEN 3-4-2-1
Subs used · LOR
64' Tosin ↑ · Dieng
81' Katseris ↑ · Makengo
82' Soumano ↑ · Karim
90+6' Adjei ↑ · Le Bris
Subs used · LEN
68' Haidara ↑ · Celik
73' Bulatovic ↑ · Thomasson
73' Bermont ↑ · Sima
84' Garnier ↑ · Abdulhamid
84' Fofana ↑ · Edouard

📊 Statistics

LOR 21 LEN
34%
Possession (%)
66%
1.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.35
6
Total Shots
20
3
Shots on Target
6
1
Shots off Target
9
4
Shots Inside Box
15
1
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
0
6
Fouls
11
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
92%
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
B. Dieng
1–0
18'
23'
Nidal Čelik
Yellow Card
Abdoulaye Faye
Yellow Card
26'
Half-time · 1 – 0
48'
O. Edouard
Assist · M. Sangare · 1–1
Montassar Talbi
Yellow Card
54'
A. Tosin ↓ · B. Dieng ↑
Substitution 1
64'
65'
Ismaelo Ganiou
Yellow Card
A. Tosin
Assist · A. Kouassi · 2–1
65'
68'
A. Haidara ↓ · N. Celik ↑
Substitution 1
73'
A. Bulatovic ↓ · A. Thomasson ↑
Substitution 2
73'
A. Bermont ↓ · A. Sima ↑
Substitution 3
75'
Saud Abdulhamid
Yellow Card
P. Katseris ↓ · J. Makengo ↑
Substitution 2
81'
S. Soumano ↓ · D. Karim ↑
Substitution 3
82'
84'
E. Garnier ↓ · S. Abdulhamid ↑
Substitution 4
84'
R. Fofana ↓ · O. Edouard ↑
Substitution 5
N. Adjei ↓ · T. Le Bris ↑
Substitution 4
90+6'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.92 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.89 56% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 57% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.06 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.01 41% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.09 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.26 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 66% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.38 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.28 78% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.84 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.80 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.34 17% Cashed +3.34 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.24 17% Cashed +2.24 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.03u −0% ROI