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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Rennes — Lille

Rennes vs Lille 1:2: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 19:45
1:2
Full-time
Lille
Lille
D W D W L Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee Jérôme Brisard, France
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.92 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 52% · book 2.33 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.67 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.18 – 1.63
Δ −0.45
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 3.13 — +12.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 3.13 ✗ Lost
AI 36% Implied 32% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

REN 4-3-3 · LIL 4-2-3-1
REN · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · LIL 30 Samba 18 Nagida 24 Rouault 3 Brassier 26 Merlin 10 Blas 21 Rongier 45 Camara 11 Tamari 9 Lepaul ⚽ 70 Nordin 1 Özer 12 Meunier 3 Ngoy 23 Mandi 24 Verdonk 6 Bentaleb 32 Bouaddi 17 Mukau 10 Haraldsson ⚽ 27 Correia 7 Fernández ⚽
Subs used · REN
70' Szymanski ↑ · Tamari ↓
70' Frankowski ↑ · Nagida ↓
71' Embolo ↑ · Nordin ↓
81' Zabiri ↑ · Blas ↓
87' Ait Boudlal ↑ · Rouault ↓
Subs used · LIL
74' Perraud ↑ · Mukau ↓
84' Giroud ↑ · Correia ↓
84' Santos ↑ · Verdonk ↓
89' Alexsandro ↑ · Haraldsson ↓

Statistics

REN 1 – 2 LIL
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.18
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.63
12
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
2
7
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
7
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

19 · 1 – 2
2'
⚽
M. Fernandez-Pardo
Assist · N. Ngoy · 0–1
16'
▮
Nabil Bentaleb
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
47'
⚽
H. Haraldsson
Assist · M. Fernandez-Pardo · 0–2
E. Lepaul
1–2
⚽
59'
Mahamadou Nagida
Yellow Card
▮
65'
S. Szymanski ↓ · M. Tamari ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
P. Frankowski ↓ · M. Nagida ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
71'
▮
Berke Özer
Yellow Card
B. Embolo ↓ · A. Nordin ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
73'
▮
Aïssa Mandi
Yellow Card
74'
⇄
R. Perraud ↓ · N. Mukau ↑
Substitution 1
Y. Zabiri ↓ · L. Blas ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
81'
Przemysław Frankowski
Yellow Card
▮
84'
84'
▮
Félix Correia
Yellow Card
84'
⇄
O. Giroud ↓ · F. Correia ↑
Substitution 2
84'
⇄
T. Santos ↓ · C. Verdonk ↑
Substitution 3
A. Ait Boudlal ↓ · A. Rouault ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
89'
⇄
Alexsandro ↓ · H. Haraldsson ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
▮
Nathan Ngoy
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Lille won 2–1 away at Rennes. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Fernandez-Pardo (2'), H. Haraldsson (47'), E. Lepaul (59').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.12 units (Brier 0.218).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.92 — 57% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Home Win 2.33 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 60% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 2.29 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.78 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.03 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.68 — 48% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.43 — 22% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.13 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 — 64% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 — 80% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 94% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.42 — 22% Cashed +2.42 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.50 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.12u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
REN – LIL @ 3.13
+12.9%
Edge
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