Match Rennes vs Lille March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.92 — +10.2% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.92 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 52% +0.92u

+92%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

REN 4-3-3 · LIL 4-2-3-1

REN · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · LIL

70 Nordin

Subs used · REN

70'

Szymanski ↑ ·

Tamari ↓

70'

Frankowski ↑ ·

Nagida ↓

71'

Embolo ↑ ·

Nordin ↓

81'

Zabiri ↑ ·

Blas ↓

87'

Ait Boudlal ↑ ·

Rouault ↓

Subs used · LIL

74'

Perraud ↑ ·

Mukau ↓

84'

Giroud ↑ ·

Correia ↓

84'

Santos ↑ ·

Verdonk ↓

89'

Alexsandro ↑ ·

Haraldsson ↓

📊 Statistics

REN 1 – 2 LIL

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.63

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 1 – 2

⚽

M. Fernandez-Pardo

Assist · N. Ngoy · 0–1

16'

▮

Nabil Bentaleb

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

47'

⚽

H. Haraldsson

Assist · M. Fernandez-Pardo · 0–2

E. Lepaul

1–2

⚽

59'

Mahamadou Nagida

Yellow Card

▮

65'

S. Szymanski ↓ · M. Tamari ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

70'

P. Frankowski ↓ · M. Nagida ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

71'

▮

Berke Özer

Yellow Card

B. Embolo ↓ · A. Nordin ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

73'

▮

Aïssa Mandi

Yellow Card

74'

⇄

R. Perraud ↓ · N. Mukau ↑

Substitution 1

Y. Zabiri ↓ · L. Blas ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

81'

Przemysław Frankowski

Yellow Card

▮

84'

▮

Félix Correia

Yellow Card

84'

⇄

O. Giroud ↓ · F. Correia ↑

Substitution 2

84'

⇄

T. Santos ↓ · C. Verdonk ↑

Substitution 3

A. Ait Boudlal ↓ · A. Rouault ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

89'

⇄

Alexsandro ↓ · H. Haraldsson ↑

Substitution 4

90+2'

▮

Nathan Ngoy

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Lille won 2–1 away at Rennes. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Fernandez-Pardo (2'), H. Haraldsson (47'), E. Lepaul (59').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.12 units (Brier 0.218).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.92	—	57%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Home Win	2.33	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	60%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
BTTS No	2.29	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.78	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.03	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.68	—	48%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.43	—	22%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.13	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	64%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	80%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	94%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.42	—	22%	Cashed	+2.42	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.50	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.12u	−12% ROI