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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Monaco

Predictions by Market: Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 06 Mar · 19:45
1:3
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Ruddy Buquet, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PSG
74%
Best 1.35
Draw
17%
Best 5.65
Away Win · MON
9%
Best 7.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.02
Fair odds
5.81
book 6.02 · +3.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 17% · EV +3.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (74%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.2%
Odds 6.02
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 8.6%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 48.7%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 28%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3%
Odds 29.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 8.6%
Odds 5.90
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.48
Show model details
Implied probability 28.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
PSG – MON @ 6.02
+3.7%
Edge
Forecast →