P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain — Monaco

Match Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco March 6, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 06 Mar · 19:45
1:3
Full-time
Monaco
Monaco
D D W L L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee Ruddy Buquet, France
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 49% · book 2.08
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 51% · book 1.89
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 37% · book 2.50
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.09 – 1.34
Δ −0.25
Possession
72% – 28%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Paris Saint Germain holds a clear quality edge at home, with a strong defensive setup likely to challenge Monaco's attack. PSG's recent form shows solid home momentum, while Monaco struggles to match that intensity away. The tactical battle favors PSG's offensive firepower against Monaco's less robust defense, suggesting a controlled but assertive home performance.

  • PSG's compact defense versus Monaco's moderate attack
  • Home crowd and form advantage boosting PSG's confidence
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic pressing

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · MON 3-4-1-2
Subs used · PSG
60' Dembele ↑ · Kvaratskhelia
60' Mayulu ↑ · Doue
60' Kang-In ↑ · Fernandez
74' Ramos ↑ · Zaire-Emery
Subs used · MON
15' Teze ↑ · Vanderson
54' Mawissa ↑ · Henrique
54' Golovin ↑ · Bamba
81' Biereth ↑ · Balogun
81' Adingra ↑ · Akliouche

📊 Statistics

PSG 13 MON
72%
Possession (%)
28%
1.09
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.34
19
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
6
10
Shots off Target
3
14
Shots Inside Box
6
7
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
6
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

17 · 1 – 3
15'
J. Teze ↓ · Vanderson ↑
Substitution 1
27'
M. Akliouche
Assist · F. Balogun · 0–1
45+4'
Wout Faes
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
54'
C. Mawissa ↓ · Caio Henrique ↑
Substitution 2
54'
A. Golovin ↓ · A. Bamba ↑
Substitution 3
55'
A. Golovin
0–2
O. Dembele ↓ · K. Kvaratskhelia ↑
Substitution 1
60'
S. Mayulu ↓ · D. Doue ↑
Substitution 2
60'
Lee Kang-In ↓ · D. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 3
60'
71'
Folarin Balogun
Yellow Card
B. Barcola
Assist · A. Hakimi · 1–2
71'
73'
F. Balogun
Assist · M. Akliouche · 1–3
G. Ramos ↓ · W. Zaire-Emery ↑
Substitution 4
74'
76'
Lamine Camara
Yellow Card
81'
M. Biereth ↓ · F. Balogun ↑
Substitution 4
81'
S. Adingra ↓ · M. Akliouche ↑
Substitution 5
Achraf Hakimi
Yellow Card
90+1'
Full-time · 1 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.08 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.89 51% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS No 2.50 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.38 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 91% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 63% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.13 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.02 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.60 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.11 88% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Under 1.5 8.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.34 72% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.48 26% Cashed +2.48 Cashed
Under 0.5 29.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.50 9% Cashed +7.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 5.90 9% Cashed +4.90 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +7.81u +46% ROI