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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Metz — Stade Brestois 29

Predictions by Market: Metz vs Stade Brestois 29

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 16:15
0:1
Full-time
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
D L L L D Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee J. Stinat

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MET
20%
Best 3.40
Draw
26%
Best 3.30
Away Win · BRE
54%
Best 2.17
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.32
book 3.75 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +12.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (70%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 53.8%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 20.3%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.6%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.4%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 51%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 49%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 20.3%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 46.2%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MET – BRE @ 3.75
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →