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Home France Ligue 1 Metz — Auxerre

Predictions Metz vs Auxerre February 15, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 15 Feb · 16:15
1:3
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
D L W W W Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Marc Bollengier, France
Home Win · MET
42%
Best 3.05
Draw
30%
Best 3.00
Away Win · AUX
28%
Best 2.55
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.01
Fair odds
1.76
book 2.01 · +14.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 57% · EV +14.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.2%
Odds 3.02
Show model details
Implied probability 33.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 30.1%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 27.8%
Odds 2.84
Show model details
Implied probability 35.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 35.9%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 13.2%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 17.6%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 56.8%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 43.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.2%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 27.8%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MET – AUX @ 2.01
+14.3%
Edge
Forecast →