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Metz vs Lille 0:0: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Fri 06 Feb · 19:45
0:0
Full-time
Lille
Lille
D W D W L Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Guillaume Paradis, France
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 62% · book 1.79 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.12 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.14 ✓
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.50 – 1.62
Δ −1.12
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.79 — +10.4% better than the market.

Lille arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they can control the game at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Metz's defensive struggles and home momentum are limited, while Lille's attacking threat and defensive solidity stand out. The pace could be moderate, with a balanced goal environment expected.

  • Lille's superior overall strength and offensive edge
  • Metz's poor recent form and defensive vulnerabilities
  • Moderate tempo likely to favor Lille's compact block

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.79 ✗ Lost
AI 62% Implied 56% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MET 4-2-3-1 · LIL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · MET
62' Abuashvili ↑ · Michal ↓
70' Hein ↑ · Deminguet ↓
70' Munongo ↑ · Stambouli ↓
90' Kvilitaia ↑ · Tsitaishvili ↓
Subs used · LIL
61' Correia ↑ · Edjouma ↓
71' Perrin ↑ · Haraldsson ↓
71' Diaoune ↑ · Giroud ↓
82' Mukau ↑ · Santos ↓
82' Verdonk ↑ · Perraud ↓

Statistics

MET 0 – 0 LIL
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.50
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.62
6
Total Shots
16
2
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
9
2
Shots Inside Box
12
1
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
9
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

11 · 0 – 0
7'
▮
Matías Fernández
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
61'
⇄
F. Correia ↓ · N. Edjouma ↑
Substitution 1
G. Abuashvili ↓ · L. Michal ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
G. Hein ↓ · J. Deminguet ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
B. Munongo ↓ · B. Stambouli ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
70'
71'
⇄
G. Perrin ↓ · H. Haraldsson ↑
Substitution 2
71'
⇄
S. Diaoune ↓ · O. Giroud ↑
Substitution 3
Koffi Kouao
Yellow Card
▮
73'
82'
⇄
N. Mukau ↓ · T. Santos ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
C. Verdonk ↓ · R. Perraud ↑
Substitution 5
G. Kvilitaia ↓ · G. Tsitaishvili ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Metz and Lille drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.62 to 0.50. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 6, 1 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +14.11 units (Brier 0.355).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.79 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.12 — 47% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
BTTS No 2.14 — 46% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.84 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.15 — 38% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.23 — 85% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.43 — 69% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.33 — 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 — 24% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 93% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.80 — 7% Cashed +12.80 Cashed
Draw 4.04 — 23% Cashed +3.04 Cashed
Home Win 4.78 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.51 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +14.11u +83% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
MET – LIL @ 1.79
+10.4%
Edge
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