Lyon vs Lille 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.97 — +11.9% better than the market.

Lyon arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a pressing edge in form. Despite Lille's higher overall quality, Lyon's compact defensive block and home confidence could neutralize the visitors' attacking threat. The tactical battle suggests a balanced game with potential for goals, supported by a moderately high pace hinted by the odds.

Lyon's home form is impeccable, creating a psychological advantage.
Lille's offensive quality challenges Lyon's defense.
Match tempo likely to favor open play and scoring chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.97 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LYO 4-3-3 · LIL 4-2-3-1

LYO · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · LIL

17 Moreira

Subs used · LYO

82'

Himbert ↑ ·

Sulc ↓

90+1'

Hateboer ↑ ·

Vinicius ↓

90+1'

Karabec ↑ ·

Endrick ↓

Subs used · LIL

68'

Broholm ↑ ·

Mukau ↓

68'

Giroud ↑ ·

Correia ↓

78'

Verdonk ↑ ·

Perraud ↓

85'

Diaoune ↑ ·

Santos ↓

Statistics

LYO 1 – 0 LIL

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.54

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.48

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

13 · 1 – 0

N. Nartey

Assist · R. Kluivert · 1–0

⚽

37'

42'

▮

Aïssa Mandi

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

▮

Nathan Ngoy

Yellow Card

61'

▮

Ngal'ayel Mukau

Yellow Card

68'

⇄

M. Broholm ↓ · N. Mukau ↑

Substitution 1

68'

⇄

O. Giroud ↓ · F. Correia ↑

Substitution 2

78'

⇄

C. Verdonk ↓ · R. Perraud ↑

Substitution 3

R. Himbert ↓ · P. Sulc ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

82'

85'

▮

Matías Fernández

Yellow Card

85'

⇄

S. Diaoune ↓ · T. Santos ↑

Substitution 4

Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Yellow Card

▮

90'

H. Hateboer ↓ · Abner Vinicius ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

90+1'

A. Karabec ↓ · Endrick ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+1'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Lyon beat Lille 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 3, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Nartey (37').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.36 units (Brier 0.250).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.97	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.86	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	41%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.11	—	42%	Cashed	+1.11	Cashed
Home Win	1.95	—	43%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.11	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.01	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	—	64%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	68%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.43	—	43%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Draw	3.86	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.20	—	20%	Cashed	+3.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.40	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.36u	−8% ROI

Lyon vs Lille 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled