P
Prognosist
P
Home › France › Ligue 1 › Metz — Lyon

Predictions by Market: Metz vs Lyon

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Metz
Metz
Home · last 5 L D L L D
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 16:15
2:5
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
W W W L L Away · last 5
Stade Saint-Symphorien · Metz Referee Eric Wattellier, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MET
15%
Best 5.00
Draw
23%
Best 3.89
Away Win · LYO
63%
Best 1.69
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.40
Fair odds
3.90
book 4.40 · +12.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 26% · EV +12.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (74%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.12
Show model details
Implied probability 24.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 14.7%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.2%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.4%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.6%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.5%
Odds 14.70
Show model details
Implied probability 6.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.4%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.5%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 14.7%
Odds 3.61
Show model details
Implied probability 27.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 85.3%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MET – LYO @ 4.40
+12.7%
Edge
Forecast →