Match Metz vs Lyon January 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Lyon heads to Stade Saint-Symphorien with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, boasting a perfect winning streak compared to Metz's struggles. Their offensive threat should challenge Metz's defense, which has been leaky lately. Despite the home crowd, Metz's limited attacking edge and poor momentum suggest Lyon's pressing and tactical discipline could dominate.

Lyon's superior quality and form create a pressing edge.
Metz's defensive vulnerabilities invite Lyon's attack.
Moderate pace expected, favoring Lyon's structured play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MET 4-3-3 · LYO 3-4-1-2

MET · 4-3-3 3-4-1-2 · LYO

7 Tsitaishvili

Subs used · MET

62'

Mboula ↑ ·

Yegbe ↓

62'

Stambouli ↑ ·

Toure ↓

62'

Munongo ↑ ·

Deminguet ↓

78'

Abuashvili ↑ ·

Colin ↓

87'

Sane ↑ ·

Hein ↓

Subs used · LYO

46'

Niakhate ↑ ·

Tolisso ↓

73'

de Carvalho ↑ ·

Merah ↓

90+2'

Hamdani ↑ ·

Endrick ↓

90+2'

Himbert ↑ ·

Moreira ↓

📊 Statistics

MET 2 – 5 LYO

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.28

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.55

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 5

11'

⚽

Endrick

Assist · C. Tolisso · 0–1

16'

⚽

R. Kluivert

Assist · K. Merah · 0–2

32'

⚽

T. Morton

0–3

K. Kouao

1–3

⚽

34'

45'

⚽

Endrick

Assist · T. Morton · 1–4

Half-time · 1 – 4

46'

⇄

M. Niakhate ↓ · C. Tolisso ↑

Substitution 1

U. Mboula ↓ · T. Yegbe ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

B. Stambouli ↓ · A. Toure ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

62'

B. Munongo ↓ · J. Deminguet ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

62'

H. Diallo

Assist · K. Kouao · 2–4

⚽

64'

Koffi Kouao

Yellow Card

▮

72'

73'

⇄

M. de Carvalho ↓ · K. Merah ↑

Substitution 2

G. Abuashvili ↓ · M. Colin ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

I. Sane ↓ · G. Hein ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

⚽

Endrick (P)

Penalty · 2–5

90+2'

⇄

A. Hamdani ↓ · Endrick ↑

Substitution 3

90+2'

⇄

R. Himbert ↓ · A. Moreira ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 2 – 5

Match recap

Lyon won 5–2 away at Metz. At half-time it was 1–4.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.55 to 1.28. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 5 from 2.55 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: Endrick (11'), R. Kluivert (16'), T. Morton (32'), K. Kouao (34'), Endrick (45'), H. Diallo (64'), Endrick (87').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.98 units (Brier 0.157).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.76	—	63%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.18	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.14	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	51%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.79	—	50%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.22	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.40	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.22	—	85%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.32	—	63%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.88	—	29%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.70	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.12	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	—	74%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Home Win	5.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.61	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.98u	−23% ROI