Match Brighton vs Bournemouth January 19, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton hosts Bournemouth in a Premier League clash where the home side shows a slight edge in recent form and defensive solidity. Brighton’s compact block and home momentum could challenge Bournemouth’s attacking flair, though the visitors boast a marginally higher overall quality. Expect a balanced encounter with chances at both ends given the decent attacking matchups and a moderate pace suggested by goal market odds.

Brighton’s defensive resilience vs Bournemouth’s offensive threat
Home momentum and tactical discipline
Moderate tempo likely, supporting a competitive but not overly open game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · BOU 4-2-3-1

BRI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BOU

18 Welbeck

Subs used · BRI

66'

Rutter ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

66'

Minteh ↑ ·

Gruda ↓

66'

Baleba ↑ ·

Hinshelwood ↓

77'

Kostoulas ↑ ·

Welbeck ↓

89'

Boscagli ↑ ·

Kadioglu ↓

Subs used · BOU

71'

Smith ↑ ·

Tavernier ↓

72'

Christie ↑ ·

J. Kroupi ↓

79'

Diakite ↑ ·

Adli ↓

90+9'

Milosavljevic ↑ ·

Jimenez ↓

📊 Statistics

BRI 1 – 1 BOU

66%

Possession (%)

34%

1.16

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.35

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 1

32'

⚽

M. Tavernier (P)

Penalty · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

Danny Welbeck

Yellow Card

▮

58'

60'

▮

Marcos Senesi

Yellow Card

G. Rutter ↓ · D. Gomez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

Y. Minteh ↓ · B. Gruda ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

C. Baleba ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

66'

71'

⇄

A. Smith ↓ · M. Tavernier ↑

Substitution 1

72'

⇄

R. Christie ↓ · E. J. Kroupi ↑

Substitution 2

Jan Paul van Hecke

Yellow Card

▮

77'

C. Kostoulas ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

77'

79'

⇄

B. Diakite ↓ · A. Adli ↑

Substitution 3

83'

▮

Adam Smith

Yellow Card

85'

▮

Đorđe Petrović

Yellow Card

O. Boscagli ↓ · F. Kadioglu ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

C. Kostoulas

Assist · J. P. van Hecke · 1–1

⚽

90'

90+9'

⇄

V. Milosavljevic ↓ · A. Jimenez ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Brighton and Bournemouth drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 6. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Tavernier (32'), C. Kostoulas (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.50 units (Brier 0.178).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.97	—	55%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.32	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.71	—	57%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
BTTS No	2.68	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.64	—	36%	Cashed	+1.64	Cashed
Home Win	1.96	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.00	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.53	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.52	—	64%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.93	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	67%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.45	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.17	—	84%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Draw	4.15	—	23%	Cashed	+3.15	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.75	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.50	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.50u	−9% ROI