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Home France Ligue 1 Toulouse — Lens

Predictions Toulouse vs Lens January 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Toulouse
Toulouse
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Fri 02 Jan · 19:45
0:3
Full-time
Lens
Lens
D D W L W Away · last 5
Stadium de Toulouse · Toulouse Referee Mathieu Vernice, France
Home Win · TOU
32%
Best 2.50
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · LEN
41%
Best 2.88
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.26
book 3.60 · +10.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +10.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (69%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 32.3%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.93
Show model details
Implied probability 34.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 76.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.9%
Odds 3.59
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 47%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 32.3%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 67.7%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
TOU – LEN @ 3.60
+10.3%
Edge
Forecast →