Match Auxerre vs Lille December 14, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Lille arrives at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite Auxerre's home comfort. Lille's sharper attack faces a resilient Auxerre defense, but the visitors' offensive firepower and momentum could unlock chances. The balanced odds on goals hint at a moderately paced game with potential for key moments.

Lille's superior overall strength and recent winning streak
Auxerre's defensive solidity at home
Moderate tempo likely to favor tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

AUX 4-3-3 · LIL 4-2-3-1

AUX · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · LIL

10 Sinayoko ⚽

Subs used · AUX

46'

Mara ↑ ·

Matondo ↓

63'

Diousse ↑ ·

Casimir ↓

81'

Mensah ↑ ·

Oppegard ↓

90'

Coulibaly ↑ ·

Danois ↓

Subs used · LIL

46'

Mbemba ↑ ·

Sahraoui ↓

75'

Santos ↑ ·

Meunier ↓

75'

Correia ↑ ·

Haraldsson ↓

75'

Diaoune ↑ ·

Giroud ↓

84'

Mukau ↑ ·

Mbappe ↓

📊 Statistics

AUX 3 – 4 LIL

45%

Possession (%)

55%

3.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.47

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

27 · 3 – 4

⚽

H. Haraldsson

0–1

Josué Casimir

Yellow Card

▮

17'

38'

▮

Nathan Ngoy

Red Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

S. Mara ↓ · R. Matondo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

C. Mbemba ↓ · O. Sahraoui ↑

Substitution 1

Clement Akpa

Yellow Card

▮

49'

50'

▮

Aïssa Mandi

Yellow Card

L. Sinayoko

Assist · K. Danois · 1–1

⚽

57'

Clement Akpa

Yellow Card

▮

60'

Clement Akpa

Red Card

▮

60'

A. Diousse ↓ · J. Casimir ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

C. Mbemba

Own goal · 2–1

⚽

66'

75'

⇄

T. Santos ↓ · T. Meunier ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

F. Correia ↓ · H. Haraldsson ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

S. Diaoune ↓ · O. Giroud ↑

Substitution 4

77'

⚽

N. Bentaleb

2–2

80'

⚽

S. Diaoune

2–3

G. Mensah ↓ · F. Oppegard ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

81'

82'

▮

Félix Correia

Yellow Card

L. Sinayoko (P)

Penalty · 3–3

⚽

83'

84'

⇄

N. Mukau ↓ · E. Mbappe ↑

Substitution 5

86'

⚽

B. Andre

Assist · R. Perraud · 3–4

Kévin Danois

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Oussama El Azzouzi

Red Card

▮

88'

▮

Romain Perraud

Red Card

L. Coulibaly ↓ · K. Danois ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

Lasso Coulibaly

Yellow Card

▮

90+3'

Full-time · 3 – 4

Match recap

Lille won 4–3 away at Auxerre. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.18 to 0.47. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 0.47 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Haraldsson (9'), L. Sinayoko (57'), C. Mbemba (66'), N. Bentaleb (77'), S. Diaoune (80'), L. Sinayoko (83'), B. Andre (86'). Nathan Ngoy was sent off in the 38' minute. Clement Akpa was sent off in the 60' minute. Oussama El Azzouzi was sent off in the 88' minute. Romain Perraud was sent off in the 88' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.04 units (Brier 0.152).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.85	—	60%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.97	—	53%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	52%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS No	2.00	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.97	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.08	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.24	—	85%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.37	—	60%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.30	—	31%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	76%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.07	—	93%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.80	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.72	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.34	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.04u	−18% ROI