Match Wolves vs Newcastle January 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Newcastle arrives at Molineux with clear quality and form advantages, showing strong momentum with recent wins contrasting Wolves' struggles. The visitors' offensive edge against Wolves' defense suggests they can unlock a compact home block. Wolves' home edge is limited, pointing to a likely Newcastle control of the match tempo and chances.

Newcastle's pressing and attacking efficiency outmatch Wolves' defense.
Wolves' recent form hints at defensive vulnerabilities.
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over frantic end-to-end action.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

WOL 3-5-2 · NEW 4-3-3

WOL · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · NEW

11 Hwang

Subs used · WOL

65'

S. Larsen ↑ ·

Arokodare ↓

71'

Arias ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

86'

Gomes ↑ ·

Hee-Chan ↓

Subs used · NEW

67'

Wissa ↑ ·

Woltemade ↓

67'

Elanga ↑ ·

Gordon ↓

67'

Miley ↑ ·

Tonali ↓

📊 Statistics

WOL 0 – 0 NEW

34%

Possession (%)

66%

0.29

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.90

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

91%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

10 · 0 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

58'

▮

Sandro Tonali

Yellow Card

J. S. Larsen ↓ · T. Arokodare ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

67'

⇄

Y. Wissa ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑

Substitution 1

67'

⇄

A. Elanga ↓ · A. Gordon ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⇄

L. Miley ↓ · S. Tonali ↑

Substitution 3

J. Arias ↓ · Joao Gomes ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

Yerson Mosquera

Yellow Card

▮

78'

R. Gomes ↓ · Hwang Hee-Chan ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

86'

89'

▮

Sven Botman

Yellow Card

André

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Wolves and Newcastle drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 0.90 to 0.29. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 12 shots to 6, 2 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +15.81 units (Brier 0.330).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.79	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.23	—	53%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
BTTS No	2.22	—	50%	Cashed	+1.22	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.21	—	38%	Cashed	+1.21	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.76	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.46	—	74%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	28%	Cashed	+3.50	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.24	—	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.35	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.80	—	8%	Cashed	+13.80	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.82	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.15	—	23%	Cashed	+3.15	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.70	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.45	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+15.81u	+93% ROI