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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lille — Marseille

Predictions by Market: Lille vs Marseille

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Fri 05 Dec · 20:00
1:0
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
L D L W W Away · last 5
Referee Jérôme Brisard, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIL
29%
Best 2.31
Draw
26%
Best 3.48
Away Win · MAR
45%
Best 2.96
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.55
Fair odds
1.41
book 1.55 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 71% · EV +9.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 29.2%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.61
Show model details
Implied probability 27.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.3%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 67.3%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 32.7%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 29.2%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LIL – MAR @ 1.55
+9.8%
Edge
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