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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Monaco — Paris Saint Germain

Predictions by Market: Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Monaco
Monaco
Home · last 5 D D W L L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
W D W W L Away · last 5
Stade Louis II · Monaco Referee Clement Turpin, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MON
24%
Best 4.50
Draw
21%
Best 4.39
Away Win · PSG
55%
Best 1.67
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 2.43
Fair odds
2.22
book 2.43 · +9.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +9.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (76%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 55%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 24.2%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.8%
Odds 4.65
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.1%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.5%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 33.8%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 24.2%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 55%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 45%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
MON – PSG @ 2.43
+9.3%
Edge
Forecast →