Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.43 — +9.3% better than the market.

Monaco hosts PSG in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a slight quality edge, but Monaco's home form and attacking edge against PSG's defense suggest a competitive encounter. Monaco's recent momentum and pressing style could challenge PSG's compact defensive block, while the pace hints at a moderately open game with goal opportunities for both sides.

Monaco's home attacking edge vs PSG's defense
PSG's overall quality advantage
Recent form favors Monaco's momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 2.43 ✓ Cashed

AI 45% Implied 41% +1.43u

+143%

ROI on stake

Lineups

MON 4-2-3-1 · PSG 4-3-3

MON · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · PSG

9 Balogun

Subs used · MON

65'

Diatta ↑ ·

Vanderson ↓

72'

Fati ↑ ·

Golovin ↓

85'

Biereth ↑ ·

Balogun ↓

86'

Pogba ↑ ·

Minamino ↓

Subs used · PSG

64'

Ndjantou ↑ ·

Mayulu ↓

64'

Dembele ↑ ·

Kang-In ↓

76'

Mbaye ↑ ·

Kvaratskhelia ↓

83'

Ramos ↑ ·

Ruiz ↓

Statistics

MON 1 – 0 PSG

43%

Possession (%)

57%

0.52

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.01

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 1 – 0

Lamine Camara

Yellow Card

▮

12'

33'

▮

Vitinha

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

64'

⇄

Q. Ndjantou ↓ · S. Mayulu ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⇄

O. Dembele ↓ · Lee Kang-In ↑

Substitution 2

K. Diatta ↓ · Vanderson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

T. Minamino

Assist · A. Golovin · 1–0

⚽

68'

A. Fati ↓ · A. Golovin ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

76'

⇄

I. Mbaye ↓ · K. Kvaratskhelia ↑

Substitution 3

Thilo Kehrer

Red Card

▮

80'

83'

⇄

G. Ramos ↓ · F. Ruiz ↑

Substitution 4

M. Biereth ↓ · F. Balogun ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

P. Pogba ↓ · T. Minamino ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

Krépin Diatta

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Jordan Teze

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Monaco beat Paris Saint Germain 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: T. Minamino (68'). Thilo Kehrer was sent off in the 80' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +9.52 units (Brier 0.383).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	2.43	—	45%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.15	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.81	—	51%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Away Win	1.66	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.63	—	34%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
Home Win	5.20	—	24%	Cashed	+4.20	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.45	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.52	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.21	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.88	—	31%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.14	—	87%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.04	—	24%	Cashed	+3.04	Cashed
Draw	4.65	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.50	—	13%	Cashed	+5.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	22.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.27	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+9.52u	+56% ROI

Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled