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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Angers — Lens

Angers vs Lens 1:2: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Angers
Angers
Home · last 5 D L L D D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Nov · 16:15
1:2
Full-time
Lens
Lens
D D W L W Away · last 5
Stade Raymond-Kopa · Angers Referee Guillaume Paradis, France
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 62% · book 1.80 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.05 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.05 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.16 – 1.96
Δ −0.80
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.05 — +12.7% better than the market.

Lens arrive with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage over Angers, who have shown strong home momentum recently. Lens' potent attack faces a resilient but vulnerable Angers defense, suggesting chances for the visitors to break through. The home side's recent form is solid, but Lens' tactical discipline and offensive threat could tilt the balance.

  • Lens' superior overall strength and offensive firepower
  • Angers' home form provides some resistance
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.05 ✗ Lost
AI 55% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ANG 4-2-3-1 · LEN 3-4-2-1
Subs used · ANG
58' Raolisoa ↑ · Abdelli ↓
64' Peter ↑ · Mouton ↓
65' Djibirin ↑ · Arcus ↓
71' Hanin ↑ · Ekomie ↓
71' Courcoul ↑ · Belkhdim ↓
Subs used · LEN
70' Sotoca ↑ · Said ↓
78' Abdulhamid ↑ · Aguilar ↓
78' Sima ↑ · Edouard ↓
90' Machado ↑ · Udol ↓

Statistics

ANG 1 – 2 LEN
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.16
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.96
7
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
6
2
Shots off Target
10
5
Shots Inside Box
11
2
Corner Kicks
8
5
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
11
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

14 · 1 – 2
45'
⚽
F. Thauvin
Assist · O. Edouard · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
48'
▮
Ruben Aguilar
Yellow Card
L. Raolisoa ↓ · H. Abdelli ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
P. Peter ↓ · L. Mouton ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
64'
H. Djibirin ↓ · C. Arcus ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
70'
⇄
F. Sotoca ↓ · W. Said ↑
Substitution 1
F. Hanin ↓ · J. Ekomie ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
M. Courcoul ↓ · Y. Belkhdim ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
71'
74'
⚽
F. Thauvin
Assist · S. Baidoo · 0–2
H. Djibirin
1–2
⚽
76'
78'
⇄
S. Abdulhamid ↓ · R. Aguilar ↑
Substitution 2
78'
⇄
A. Sima ↓ · O. Edouard ↑
Substitution 3
Haris Belkebla
Yellow Card
▮
89'
90'
⇄
D. Machado ↓ · M. Udol ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Lens won 2–1 away at Angers. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.96 to 1.16. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2.

On the scoresheet: F. Thauvin (45'), F. Thauvin (74'), H. Djibirin (76').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.19 units (Brier 0.119).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.80 — 62% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.05 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.83 — 48% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.91 — 45% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.15 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 — 76% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.22 — 85% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.32 — 62% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.92 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 — 70% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Home Win 5.00 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.60 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.19u −31% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ANG – LEN @ 2.05
+12.7%
Edge
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