Monaco vs Lens 1:4 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.36 — +7.3% better than the market.

Monaco holds a clear quality edge over Lens, boosted by a solid home momentum and a sharper attacking threat. Their offensive prowess is likely to challenge Lens' defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Lens, despite a decent recent run, faces a tough task breaking down Monaco's compact block. Expect a moderately paced game with chances for both sides but a slight lean towards Monaco's control.

Monaco's home edge and attacking edge suggest pressure on Lens' defense.
Lens' recent form is positive but less consistent away.
Game likely to feature tactical discipline and measured tempo.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.36 ✗ Lost

AI 79% Implied 74% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Statistics

MON 1 – 4 LEN

50%

Possession (%)

50%

2.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.16

16

Total Shots

20

6

Shots on Target

12

6

Shots off Target

3

14

Shots Inside Box

15

5

Corner Kicks

4

2

Offsides

2

15

Fouls

19

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

1

Yellow Cards

2

7

Goalkeeper Saves

5

Match events

19 · 1 – 4

21'

⚽

O. Edouard

0–1

F. Balogun (P)

Penalty · 1–1

⚽

37'

40'

⚽

W. Said

Assist · O. Edouard · 1–2

Folarin Balogun

Red Card

▮

45'

⚽

M. Sangare

Assist · F. Thauvin · 1–3

Half-time · 1 – 3

L. Michal ↓ · A. Golovin ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

57'

▮

Jonathan Gradit

Yellow Card

60'

⚽

W. Said

Assist · F. Thauvin · 1–4

P. Cabral ↓ · J. Teze ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

61'

G. Ilenikhena ↓ · M. Biereth ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

61'

63'

⇄

A. Bulatovic ↓ · M. Sangare ↑

Substitution 1

72'

⇄

M. Guilavogui ↓ · W. Said ↑

Substitution 2

72'

⇄

R. Fofana ↓ · O. Edouard ↑

Substitution 3

A. Fati ↓ · M. Akliouche ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

74'

▮

Ruben Aguilar

Yellow Card

D. Zakaria ↓ · M. Coulibaly ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

84'

⇄

A. Bermont ↓ · R. Aguilar ↑

Substitution 4

84'

⇄

F. Sotoca ↓ · A. Thomasson ↑

Substitution 5

Denis Zakaria

Yellow Card

▮

90+5'

Full-time · 1 – 4

Match recap

Lens won 4–1 away at Monaco. At half-time it was 1–3.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 16, 12 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: O. Edouard (21'), F. Balogun (37'), W. Said (40'), M. Sangare (45'), W. Said (60'). Folarin Balogun was sent off in the 45' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.46 units (Brier 0.238).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.11	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.40	—	43%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
BTTS No	2.71	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.67	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.56	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.82	—	45%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.56	—	21%	Cashed	+1.56	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.55	—	65%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.56	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	—	84%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.96	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.50	—	21%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.46u	−9% ROI

Monaco vs Lens 1:4: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled