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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Rennes — Strasbourg

Rennes vs Strasbourg 4:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 14:00
4:1
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee Thomas Leonard, France
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 67% · book 1.63 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.76 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 39% · book 2.75 ✓
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
2.19 – 1.45
Δ +0.74
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.63 — +8.8% better than the market.

Rennes hosts Strasbourg in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge and offensive advantage. Strasbourg's sharper attack meets Rennes' vulnerable defense, suggesting chances for goals. Rennes' recent home form is shaky, while Strasbourg arrives with better momentum and a pressing edge. Expect a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, hinting at an open game with both sides probing actively.

  • Strasbourg's offensive strength vs Rennes' defensive struggles
  • Home side's recent dip in form vs away momentum
  • Odds suggest a match with multiple goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.63 ✗ Lost
AI 67% Implied 61% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

REN 3-5-2 · STR 3-4-2-1
REN · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · STR 30 Samba 48 Boudlal 97 Jacquet 3 Brassier 95 Frankowski 45 Camara 21 Rongier 6 Cissé 11 Tamari 9 Lepaul ⚽ 39 Meite ⚽ 39 Penders 22 Doué 24 Høgsberg 3 Chilwell 42 Ouattara 29 Mourabet 32 Barco 7 Moreira 27 Amo-Ameyaw 19 Enciso 9 Panichelli
Subs used · REN
59' Merlin ↑ · Tamari ↓
68' Blas ↑ · Cisse ↓
68' Embolo ↑ · Meite ↓
90+3' Rosier ↑ · Lepaul ↓
Subs used · STR
52' Nanasi ↑ · Amo-Ameyaw ↓
52' Amougou ↑ · El Mourabet ↓
61' Nzingoula ↑ · Ouattara ↓
83' Paez ↑ · Enciso ↓
83' Godo ↑ · Moreira ↓

Statistics

REN 4 – 1 STR
41%
Possession (%)
59%
2.19
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.45
13
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
9
10
Shots Inside Box
13
5
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
3
15
Fouls
9
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 4 – 1
E. Lepaul
Assist · M. Tamari · 1–0
⚽
9'
M. Meite
Assist · A. Ait Boudlal · 2–0
⚽
35'
Half-time · 2 – 0
E. Lepaul
Assist · M. Meite · 3–0
⚽
48'
52'
⇄
S. Nanasi ↓ · S. Amo-Ameyaw ↑
Substitution 1
52'
⇄
M. Amougou ↓ · S. El Mourabet ↑
Substitution 2
Q. Merlin ↓ · M. Tamari ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
59'
E. Lepaul
Assist · V. Rongier · 4–0
⚽
60'
61'
⇄
R. Nzingoula ↓ · A. Ouattara ↑
Substitution 3
L. Blas ↓ · D. Cisse ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
B. Embolo ↓ · M. Meite ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
68'
77'
⚽
S. Nanasi
Assist · V. Barco · 4–1
83'
▮
Ben Chilwell
Yellow Card
83'
⇄
K. Paez ↓ · J. Enciso ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
M. Godo ↓ · D. Moreira ↑
Substitution 5
L. Rosier ↓ · E. Lepaul ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+3'
Przemysław Frankowski
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 4 – 1

Match recap

Rennes beat Strasbourg 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.19 to 1.45. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 13, 2 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.19 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: E. Lepaul (9'), M. Meite (35'), E. Lepaul (48'), E. Lepaul (60'), S. Nanasi (77').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.96 units (Brier 0.198).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.63 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.76 — 60% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 — 39% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
BTTS No 2.46 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.19 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.24 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.42 — 33% Cashed +1.42 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.79 — 33% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Away Win 2.97 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.45 — 58% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.58 — 62% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.24 — 81% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 95% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.76 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.96u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
REN – STR @ 1.63
+8.8%
Edge
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