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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris Saint Germain — Nice

Predictions by Market: Paris Saint Germain vs Nice

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 16:00
1:0
Full-time
Nice
Nice
D L D D W Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris Referee François Letexier, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PSG
78%
Best 1.20
Draw
16%
Best 7.50
Away Win · NIC
7%
Best 13.75
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 3.35
Fair odds
2.93
book 3.35 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +14.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (66%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15.6%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 6.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14.8%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.2%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.9%
Odds 27.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85.2%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 77.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6.7%
Odds 6.80
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.26
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PSG – NIC @ 3.35
+14.4%
Edge
Forecast →