Match Paris Saint Germain vs Nice November 1, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.96 — +9.5% better than the market.

Paris Saint Germain holds a clear quality edge at home, backed by a strong defensive record and a potent attack that outmatches Nice's defense. Their recent form shows steady momentum, while Nice's inconsistent away performances suggest PSG's compact block and pressing edge could dominate. The match hints at a balanced pace with potential for multiple goals, given both sides' offensive capabilities.

PSG's home defensive solidity vs Nice's attack
Recent form favors PSG's consistency
Moderate tempo suggests tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.96 ✓ Cashed

AI 56% Implied 51% +0.96u

+96%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PSG 4-3-3 · NIC 5-4-1

PSG · 4-3-3 5-4-1 · NIC

29 Barcola

Subs used · PSG

65'

Ruiz ↑ ·

Neves ↓

66'

Kang-In ↑ ·

Barcola ↓

72'

Ramos ↑ ·

Mayulu ↓

72'

Dembele ↑ ·

Zaire-Emery ↓

Subs used · NIC

46'

Diop ↑ ·

Jansson ↓

71'

Vanhoutte ↑ ·

Sanson ↓

71'

Boga ↑

84'

Abdul Samed ↑ ·

Louchet ↓

📊 Statistics

PSG 1 – 0 NIC

77%

Possession (%)

23%

1.32

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.48

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

94%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 0

27'

▮

Abdulay Juma Bah

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

S. Diop ↓ · I. Jansson ↑

Substitution 1

Ilya Zabarnyi

Yellow Card

▮

63'

F. Ruiz ↓ · J. Neves ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

65'

Lee Kang-In ↓ · B. Barcola ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

71'

⇄

C. Vanhoutte ↓ · M. Sanson ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

J. Boga ↓ ·

Substitution 3

G. Ramos ↓ · S. Mayulu ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

O. Dembele ↓ · W. Zaire-Emery ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Yellow Card

▮

78'

84'

⇄

S. Abdul Samed ↓ · T. Louchet ↑

Substitution 4

Kang-in Lee

Yellow Card

▮

87'

G. Ramos

Assist · K. Kvaratskhelia · 1–0

⚽

90'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Paris Saint Germain beat Nice 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 77% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 94% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.32 to 0.48. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 5, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Ramos (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.90 units (Brier 0.207).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.96	—	56%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	44%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.00	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	8.00	—	15%	Cashed	+7.00	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.35	—	34%	Cashed	+2.35	Cashed
Draw	7.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.30	—	78%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	93%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.40	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.10	—	78%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	27.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.13	—	85%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	4.26	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	11.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.80	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+2.90u	+17% ROI

Match Paris Saint Germain vs Nice November 1, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.96 — +9.5% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled