P
Prognosist
P
Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lens — Paris FC

Predictions by Market: Lens vs Paris FC

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 13:00
2:1
Full-time
Paris FC
Paris FC
W L W L W Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee Gael Angoula, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEN
46%
Best 1.88
Draw
23%
Best 3.75
Away Win · PAR
31%
Best 3.93
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.98
Fair odds
1.86
book 1.98 · +6.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 54% · EV +6.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (69%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.5%
Odds 4.02
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.1%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.98
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 96.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.1%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.27
Show model details
Implied probability 44.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.1%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.5%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.5%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEN – PAR @ 1.98
+6.7%
Edge
Forecast →