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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Marseille — Le Havre

Predictions by Market: Marseille vs Le Havre

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 19:05
6:2
Full-time
Le Havre
Le Havre
D D D L W Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Bastien Dechepy, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MAR
75%
Best 1.35
Draw
18%
Best 5.41
Away Win · HAV
7%
Best 8.75
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.87
Fair odds
5.67
book 5.87 · +3.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 18% · EV +3.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (75%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 17.6%
Odds 5.87
Show model details
Implied probability 17%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.1%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 95.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.4%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.8%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 75.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.1%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
MAR – HAV @ 5.87
+3.5%
Edge
Forecast →