P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Marseille — Le Havre

Match Marseille vs Le Havre October 18, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 19:05
6:2
Full-time
Le Havre
Le Havre
D D D L W Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee Bastien Dechepy, France
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 18% · book 5.87 ✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 93% · book 1.09 ✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 75% · book 1.36 ✓
Total goals
8
6 · 2
xG (open play)
4.11 – 0.49
Δ +3.62
Possession
74% – 26%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

Marseille is expected to dominate against Le Havre, with a strong home advantage and superior overall strength. The likelihood of a home win is high, with an estimated probability of 75.32% against odds of 1.36. Goals are anticipated, with a 58.22% chance of over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.68. Both teams scoring is slightly favored, with a 48.38% probability at odds of 2.09. A draw is less likely, with a 17.63% chance, while an away win is even less probable at 7.05%.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAR 4-2-3-1 · HAV 4-4-2
MAR · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · HAV 12 Lange 28 Pavard 5 Balerdi 21 Aguerd 33 Palmieri 17 O'Riley 23 Højbjerg 10 Greenwood ⚽ 8 Gomes 14 Paixão 97 Aubameyang 99 Diaw 7 Négo 93 Sangante 4 Lloris 18 Zouaoui 13 Doucouré 14 Ndiaye 15 Seko 8 Kechta ⚽ 45 Soumaré 70 Samatta
Subs used · MAR
65' Murillo ↑ · Emerson ↓
65' Nadir ↑ · O'Riley ↓
65' Vaz ↑ · Gomes ↓
71' Weah ↑ · Paixao ↓
79' Bakola ↑ · Greenwood ↓
Subs used · HAV
38' Youte Kinkoue ↑ · Samatta ↓
65' Ebonog ↑ · Ndiaye ↓
65' Toure ↑ · Doucoure ↓
84' Namli ↑ · Seko ↓
84' Kyeremeh ↑ · Kechta ↓

📊 Statistics

MAR 6 – 2 HAV
74%
Possession (%)
26%
4.11
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.49
18
Total Shots
8
11
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
3
17
Fouls
13
94%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
2
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

⏱ Match events

23 · 6 – 2
24'
⚽
Y. Kechta
Assist · I. Soumare · 0–1
34'
▮
Gautier Lloris
Red Card
M. Greenwood (P)
Penalty · 1–1
⚽
35'
38'
⇄
E. Youte Kinkoue ↓ · A. Samatta ↑
Substitution 1
45+4'
▮
Yassine Kechta
Yellow Card
45+4'
▮
Yanis Zouaoui
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 1
M. Murillo ↓ · Emerson ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
B. Nadir ↓ · M. O'Riley ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
R. Vaz ↓ · A. Gomes ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
65'
⇄
S. Ebonog ↓ · R. Ndiaye ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⇄
A. Toure ↓ · F. Doucoure ↑
Substitution 3
M. Greenwood
Assist · I. Paixao · 2–1
⚽
67'
T. Weah ↓ · I. Paixao ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
M. Greenwood
Assist · R. Vaz · 3–1
⚽
72'
M. Greenwood
Assist · B. Pavard · 4–1
⚽
76'
Bilal Nadir
Yellow Card
▮
78'
D. Bakola ↓ · M. Greenwood ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
84'
⇄
Y. Namli ↓ · A. Seko ↑
Substitution 4
84'
⇄
G. Kyeremeh ↓ · Y. Kechta ↑
Substitution 5
R. Vaz
Assist · P. Aubameyang · 5–1
⚽
88'
Amir Murillo
Yellow Card
▮
90'
90'
⚽
A. Toure
Assist · Y. Namli · 5–2
M. Murillo
Assist · B. Nadir · 6–2
⚽
90'
Full-time · 6 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Draw 5.87 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.09 — 93% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Home Win 1.36 — 75% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.09 — 48% Cashed +1.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.68 — 58% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.39 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 10.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.83 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.50 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.21 — 81% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.64 — 36% Cashed +1.64 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.54 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.56 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.10 — 75% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
AH Away 0 7.00 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.79u −28% ROI