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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lille — Lyon

Match Lille vs Lyon September 28, 2025

France   /   Ligue 1
Lille
Lille
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 28 Sep · 15:15
0:1
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
W W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Mathieu Vernice, France
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.65
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.83
Miss
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 60% · book 1.71
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.39 – 0.49
Δ +0.90
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
2 / 9
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This encounter features Lille with a strong overall profile and a solid home advantage, while Lyon shows good defensive resilience but a less potent attack. Lille’s recent form is mixed but includes several wins, and Lyon comes in with a confident winning streak. The home side’s attacking threat and finishing efficiency suggest a competitive match with a slight edge to Lille. The game is likely to produce goals, favoring both teams to score, but the home team’s ability to find the net looks more reliable. The market values reflect a balanced contest with Lille favored to win but with a realistic chance for Lyon or a draw.

Our top betting angles focus on the home win and BTTS Yes markets, which show value against the bookmaker odds. Totals around 2.5 goals also present interesting opportunities, with a lean towards over. Asian handicap options on Lille to avoid defeat or win with a small margin add further strategic plays. Overall, the match promises an engaging contest with moderate confidence in the home side’s edge and goal-scoring potential.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

LIL 01 LYO
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.49
14
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
1
9
Shots Inside Box
4
3
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
20
Fouls
24
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

15 · 0 – 1
13'
T. Morton
Assist · N. Tagliafico · 0–1
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Yellow Card
43'
Half-time · 0 – 1
46'
Nicolás Tagliafico
Yellow Card
Aïssa Mandi
Yellow Card
69'
72'
Malick Fofana
Yellow Card
B. Genesio
Assist · B. Genesio · 1–1
72'
N. Bentaleb ↓ · N. Mukau ↑
Substitution 1
74'
O. Sahraoui ↓ · F. Correia ↑
Substitution 2
74'
75'
P. Sulc ↓ · K. Merah ↑
Substitution 1
75'
A. Moreira ↓ · A. Karabec ↑
Substitution 2
76'
Afonso Moreira
Yellow Card
H. Igamane ↓ · A. Bouaddi ↑
Substitution 3
79'
83'
Pavel Šulc
Yellow Card
Matias Fernandez
Yellow Card
86'
Hamza Igamane
Yellow Card
87'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 2 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.65 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.83 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.71 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.23 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.41 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Team Total Over 0.5 1.31 65% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Home Win 2.31 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.74 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.21 30% Cashed +2.21 Cashed
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 7 L −4.48u −50% ROI