This encounter features two teams with solid recent form, though Strasbourg’s home performances have been notably stronger than Marseille’s away outings. Strasbourg’s defensive resilience at home contrasts with Marseille’s more potent attack but less consistent away record. The game is likely to be competitive with a moderate tempo, where both sides have the capacity to score but also maintain defensive discipline. Given the home advantage and recent trends, a draw or a narrow away win seems plausible, while the goal count is expected to be around the 2 to 3 range. The market shows some value in backing both teams to score and the over 2.5 goals, reflecting the attacking capabilities on display.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
STR 4-2-3-1 · MAR 4-2-3-1Subs used · STR
46'
Amo-Ameyaw ↑
·
Lemarechal ↓
Amo-Ameyaw ↑
·
Lemarechal ↓
62'
Panichelli ↑
·
Emegha ↓
Panichelli ↑
·
Emegha ↓
84'
Omobamidele ↑
·
Doue ↓
Omobamidele ↑
·
Doue ↓
84'
El Mourabet ↑
·
Barco ↓
El Mourabet ↑
·
Barco ↓
📊 Statistics
STR 1 – 2 MAR39%
Possession (%)
61%
0.91
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.95
8
Total Shots
16
1
Shots on Target
9
5
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
13
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
2
Yellow Cards
4
7
Goalkeeper Saves
0
⏱ Match events
19 · 1 – 224'
▮
Nayef Aguerd
Yellow Card
27'
▮
Amir Murillo
Yellow Card
38'
▮
Matt O'Riley
Yellow Card
45'
▮
Leonardo Balerdi
Yellow Card
Emanuel Emegha
Yellow Card
45+1'
Half-time · 0 – 0
A. Ouattara ↓ · K. Paez ↑
Substitution 1
46'
S. Amo-Ameyaw ↓ · F. Lemarechal ↑
Substitution 2
46'
A. Ouattara
Assist · E. Emegha · 1–0
49'
58'
⇄
Emerson ↓ · T. Weah ↑
Substitution 1
58'
⇄
P. Aubameyang ↓ · A. Gouiri ↑
Substitution 2
58'
⇄
M. Greenwood ↓ · I. Paixao ↑
Substitution 3
J. Panichelli ↓ · E. Emegha ↑
Substitution 3
62'
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Yellow Card
66'
78'
⚽
P. Aubameyang
1–1
A. Omobamidele ↓ · G. Doue ↑
Substitution 4
84'
S. El Mourabet ↓ · V. Barco ↑
Substitution 5
84'
85'
⇄
B. Pavard ↓ · M. O'Riley ↑
Substitution 4
85'
⇄
R. Vaz ↓ · F. Medina ↑
Substitution 5
90'
⚽
M. Murillo
1–2
Full-time · 1 – 2
Match recap
Marseille won 2–1 away at Strasbourg. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 0.91. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 8, 9 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: A. Ouattara (49'), P. Aubameyang (78'), M. Murillo (90').
Model audit for this match: of 8 graded markets, 4 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.13 units (Brier 0.159).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
8 · 4 W · 4 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1.65 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.65 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.80 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.83 | — | 55% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.33 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.33 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 2.63 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 3.85 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 3.64 | — | 27% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 2.09 | — | 46% | Cashed | +1.09 | Cashed |
| Total · 8 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 4 W · 4 L | −1.13u | −14% ROI |