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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Genoa — AC Milan

Match Genoa vs AC Milan May 17, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
1:2
Full-time
AC Milan
AC Milan
D L L W L Away · last 5
Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee Simone Sozza, Italy
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 61% · book 1.78 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.94 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.01 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.35 – 1.89
Δ −0.54
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Serie A Clash: Genoa vs AC Milan

AC Milan arrives with a clear quality edge and a stronger offensive profile, likely to test Genoa's compact defense. Genoa's recent home form shows signs of resilience, but Milan's pressing and superior firepower could tilt the balance. The match hints at a moderately paced game with tactical discipline from both sides, where Milan's ability to exploit set-pieces and quick transitions may prove decisive.

  • AC Milan's offensive edge against Genoa's defense
  • Genoa's home momentum and defensive solidity
  • Moderate pace with tactical caution expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-3-2-1 · MIL 3-5-2
GEN · 4-3-2-1 3-5-2 · MIL 16 Bijlow 77 Ellertsson 34 Otoa 27 Marcandalli 22 Vásquez ⚽ 17 Malinovskyi 4 Amorim 32 Frendrup 8 Baldanzi 9 Vitinha 29 Colombo 16 Maignan 23 Tomori 46 Gabbia 31 Pavlović 24 Athekame ⚽ 19 Fofana 30 Jashari 12 Rabiot 33 Bartesaghi 18 Nkunku ⚽ 7 Giménez
Subs used · GEN
64' Ekhator ↑ · Baldanzi ↓
85' Ekuban ↑ · Colombo ↓
90+1' Martin ↑ · Amorim ↓
Subs used · MIL
68' Fullkrug ↑ · Gimenez ↓
68' Ricci ↑ · Fofana ↓
76' De Winter ↑ · Tomori ↓
76' Pulisic ↑ · Nkunku ↓
85' Loftus-Cheek ↑ · Jashari ↓

📊 Statistics

GEN 1 – 2 MIL
62%
Possession (%)
38%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.89
11
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
6
7
Shots off Target
1
7
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
19
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 2
Half-time · 0 – 0
J. Bijlow
Yellow Card
▮
48'
50'
⚽
C. Nkunku (P)
Penalty · 0–1
63'
▮
M. Gabbia
Yellow Card
Vitinha
Yellow Card
▮
63'
J. Ekhator ↓ · T. Baldanzi ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
64'
68'
⇄
N. Fullkrug ↓ · S. Gimenez ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
S. Ricci ↓ · Y. Fofana ↑
Substitution 2
72'
▮
F. Tomori
Yellow Card
76'
⇄
K. De Winter ↓ · F. Tomori ↑
Substitution 3
76'
⇄
C. Pulisic ↓ · C. Nkunku ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⚽
Z. Athekame
Assist · C. Pulisic · 0–2
C. Ekuban ↓ · L. Colombo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
R. Loftus-Cheek ↓ · A. Jashari ↑
Substitution 5
86'
▮
S. Ricci
Yellow Card
J. Vasquez
1–2
⚽
86'
A. Martin ↓ · Amorim ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
90+1'
Full-time · 1 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.78 1.70 61% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.94 1.80 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.01 2.00 49% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 1.90 50% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 1.87 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.16 2.07 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.21 1.18 85% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.30 1.28 61% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 1.29 73% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 1.05 91% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 10.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.50 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.30 1.30 73% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Draw 3.96 3.83 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 3.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.96 5.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.45 3.46 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.11u −30% ROI