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Home Italy Serie A Genoa — AC Milan

Predictions Genoa vs AC Milan May 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 10:00
1:2
Full-time
AC Milan
AC Milan
D L L W L Away · last 5
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris · Genova Referee Simone Sozza, Italy
Home Win · GEN
15%
Best 5.52
Draw
24%
Best 3.96
Away Win · MIL
61%
Best 1.72
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.78
Fair odds
1.64
book 1.78 · +8.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 61% · EV +8.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.96
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 15.1%
Odds 4.96
Show model details
Implied probability 20.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.3%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 15.1%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 38.9%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 84.9%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.