Tottenham vs Sunderland 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.95 — +14.5% better than the market.

Tottenham holds a clear quality edge and a solid home advantage at their stadium, despite some recent mixed form. Their offensive strength faces a tough Sunderland defense, suggesting a tactical battle where Spurs' pressing and set-piece threat could be decisive. Sunderland's resilience and slightly better recent points per game hint at a compact, cautious away approach.

Home momentum with a pressing edge
Strong defensive challenge from Sunderland
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.95 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

TOT 4-2-3-1 · SUN 4-4-2

TOT · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · SUN

9 Richarlison

Subs used · TOT

19'

Kolo Muani ↑ ·

Kudus ↓

72'

Palhinha ↑ ·

Gray ↓

72'

Bergvall ↑ ·

Odobert ↓

88'

Spence ↑ ·

Davies ↓

88'

Scarlett ↑ ·

Tel ↓

Subs used · SUN

59'

Mundle ↑ ·

Cirkin ↓

66'

Ballard ↑ ·

Adingra ↓

82'

Rigg ↑ ·

Mayenda ↓

Statistics

TOT 1 – 1 SUN

49%

Possession (%)

51%

1.18

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.48

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 1 – 1

R. Kolo Muani ↓ · M. Kudus ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

19'

B. Davies

Assist · M. van de Ven · 1–0

⚽

30'

Half-time · 1 – 0

47'

▮

Dennis Cirkin

Yellow Card

50'

▮

Omar Alderete

Yellow Card

59'

⇄

R. Mundle ↓ · D. Cirkin ↑

Substitution 1

60'

▮

Enzo Le Fée

Yellow Card

66'

⇄

D. Ballard ↓ · S. Adingra ↑

Substitution 2

J. Palhinha ↓ · A. Gray ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

L. Bergvall ↓ · W. Odobert ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

80'

⚽

B. Brobbey

Assist · E. Le Fee · 1–1

82'

⇄

C. Rigg ↓ · E. Mayenda ↑

Substitution 3

Rodrigo Bentancur

Yellow Card

▮

83'

D. Spence ↓ · B. Davies ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

D. Scarlett ↓ · M. Tel ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

João Palhinha

Yellow Card

▮

90+6'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Tottenham and Sunderland drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.18 to 0.48. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: B. Davies (30'), B. Brobbey (80').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.20 units (Brier 0.181).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.89	—	63%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
BTTS No	1.95	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.87	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.09	—	40%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	41%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.10	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	81%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.30	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.60	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	85%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	88%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.85	—	24%	Cashed	+2.85	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.36	—	63%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	4.78	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.60	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.30	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.20u	−13% ROI

Tottenham vs Sunderland 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled