P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A AS Roma — Fiorentina
Italy   /   Serie A
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 D W W W W
Kick-off
Mon 04 May · 18:45
4:0
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee L. Zufferli
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.66
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.01
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 50% · book 1.95
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
2.14 – 0.16
Δ +1.98
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AS Roma enters this Serie A clash with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a notable edge in defensive solidity. Their recent form shows resilience, while Fiorentina's slightly lower pace and defensive frailties could be exploited. Roma's attacking prowess against Fiorentina's defense suggests chances for goals, though the match may stay moderately paced given balanced offensive stats.

  • Home defensive strength vs away attack
  • Roma's recent winning form
  • Moderate goal environment suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · FIO 4-3-3
Subs used · ROM
64' El Shaarawy ↑ · Kone
72' Ghilardi ↑ · Mancini
72' Dybala ↑ · Soule
83' Ziolkowski ↑ · Hermoso
83' Vaz ↑ · Malen
Subs used · FIO
46' Comuzzo ↑ · Pongracic
46' Braschi ↑ · Harrison
46' Parisi ↑ · Gudmundsson
75' Fazzini ↑ · Fagioli
75' Fabbian ↑ · Brescianini

📊 Statistics

ROM 40 FIO
61%
Possession (%)
39%
2.14
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.16
14
Total Shots
4
7
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
3
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
10
91%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

18 · 4 – 0
G. Mancini
Assist · N. Pisilli · 1–0
13'
Wesley Franca
Assist · M. Hermoso · 2–0
17'
25'
M. Pongracic
Yellow Card
M. Hermoso
Assist · M. Kone · 3–0
34'
Half-time · 3 – 0
46'
P. Comuzzo ↓ · M. Pongracic ↑
Substitution 1
46'
R. Braschi ↓ · J. Harrison ↑
Substitution 2
46'
F. Parisi ↓ · A. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 3
M. Hermoso
Yellow Card
48'
N. Pisilli
Assist · D. Malen · 4–0
58'
S. El Shaarawy ↓ · M. Kone ↑
Substitution 1
64'
66'
F. Parisi
Yellow Card
D. Ghilardi ↓ · G. Mancini ↑
Substitution 2
72'
P. Dybala ↓ · M. Soule ↑
Substitution 3
72'
75'
J. Fazzini ↓ · N. Fagioli ↑
Substitution 4
75'
G. Fabbian ↓ · M. Brescianini ↑
Substitution 5
J. Ziolkowski ↓ · M. Hermoso ↑
Substitution 4
83'
R. Vaz ↓ · D. Malen ↑
Substitution 5
83'
S. El Shaarawy
Yellow Card
90+2'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.66 1.53 65% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.01 1.91 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 1.87 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 1.85 50% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.94 1.91 49% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.37 2.43 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.19 1.11 86% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.25 1.18 65% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.50 10.99 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 3.75 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.03 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 1.33 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.39 4.18 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 3.19 28% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 1.25 73% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Away Win 5.50 5.99 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.80 4.65 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.27u −19% ROI