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Home Italy Serie A AS Roma — Fiorentina

Predictions AS Roma vs Fiorentina May 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Mon 04 May · 18:45
4:0
Full-time
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
D L D W D Away · last 5
Referee L. Zufferli
Home Win · ROM
65%
Best 1.55
Draw
22%
Best 4.33
Away Win · FIO
14%
Best 7.30
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.66
Fair odds
1.55
book 1.66 · +7.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +7.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.39
Show model details
Implied probability 22.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.5%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 50.9%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 8.1%
Odds 12.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 27.8%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.5%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.5%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.