Match AS Roma vs Pisa April 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.98 — +9.1% better than the market.

AS Roma enters this Serie A clash with a clear quality advantage and a solid home edge, showing more offensive firepower against Pisa's less robust defense. Despite mixed recent form, Roma's ability to control the game tempo and exploit set-piece situations could prove decisive. Pisa's struggles on the road and defensive vulnerabilities suggest Roma's pressing and compact block will create chances.

Roma's home momentum and tactical discipline
Pisa's defensive challenges against strong attacks
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.98 ✗ Lost

AI 55% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · PIS 3-4-2-1

ROM · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · PIS

14 Malen ⚽

Subs used · ROM

46'

El Shaarawy ↑ ·

Pellegrini ↓

65'

El Aynaoui ↑ ·

Soule ↓

78'

Vaz ↑ ·

Malen ↓

78'

Angelino ↑ ·

Celik ↓

85'

Venturino ↑ ·

Rensch ↓

Subs used · PIS

54'

Piccinini ↑ ·

Toure ↓

54'

Akinsanmiro ↑ ·

Hojholt ↓

74'

Loyola ↑ ·

Moreo ↓

74'

Durosinmi ↑ ·

Tramoni ↓

84'

Coppola ↑ ·

Calabresi ↓

📊 Statistics

ROM 3 – 0 PIS

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.84

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 0

D. Malen

1–0

⚽

21'

▮

Idrissa Touré

Yellow Card

D. Malen

Assist · D. Rensch · 2–0

⚽

43'

Half-time · 2 – 0

S. El Shaarawy ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

Zeki Çelik

Yellow Card

▮

50'

D. Malen

Assist · M. Soule · 3–0

⚽

52'

54'

⇄

G. Piccinini ↓ · I. Toure ↑

Substitution 1

54'

⇄

E. Akinsanmiro ↓ · M. Hojholt ↑

Substitution 2

N. El Aynaoui ↓ · M. Soule ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

74'

⇄

F. Loyola ↓ · S. Moreo ↑

Substitution 3

74'

⇄

R. Durosinmi ↓ · M. Tramoni ↑

Substitution 4

R. Vaz ↓ · D. Malen ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

78'

Angelino ↓ · Z. Celik ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

84'

⇄

F. Coppola ↓ · A. Calabresi ↑

Substitution 5

L. Venturino ↓ · D. Rensch ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

AS Roma beat Pisa 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.50 to 0.84. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.50 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: D. Malen (3'), D. Malen (43'), D. Malen (52').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.12 units (Brier 0.088).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.98	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.37	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.62	—	59%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.96	—	45%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Home Win	1.40	—	74%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.09	—	93%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.08	—	74%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	76%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Draw	5.24	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	70%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.30	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.30	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	11.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.95	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.12u	−36% ROI