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Home › Italy › Serie A › AS Roma — Pisa

Predictions by Market: AS Roma vs Pisa

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Fri 10 Apr · 18:45
3:0
Full-time
Pisa
Pisa
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Ermanno Feliciani, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ROM
74%
Best 1.34
Draw
19%
Best 5.10
Away Win · PIS
7%
Best 9.20
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.36
book 3.75 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +11.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (70%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 74%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.2%
Odds 5.24
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 6.8%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.1%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.9%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.3%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.7%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 74%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6.8%
Odds 5.95
Show model details
Implied probability 16.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.2%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 26%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
ROM – PIS @ 3.75
+11.5%
Edge
Forecast →