Match AS Roma vs Cremonese February 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.92 — +10.2% better than the market.

AS Roma holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite a mixed recent form. Their strong defensive setup should contain Cremonese's modest attack, while Roma's offense benefits from a pressing edge against a vulnerable away defense. The match pace hints at a controlled tempo, favoring Roma's compact block and set-piece threat.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
Roma's pressing and tactical discipline
Moderate pace likely to limit high-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.92 ✗ Lost

AI 57% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · CRE 3-5-2

ROM · 3-4-2-1 3-5-2 · CRE

14 Malen

Subs used · ROM

46'

El Aynaoui ↑ ·

Ghilardi ↓

56'

Venturino ↑ ·

Zaragoza ↓

72'

Pisilli ↑ ·

Pellegrini ↓

85'

Ziolkowski ↑ ·

Celik ↓

Subs used · CRE

49'

Bondo ↑ ·

Payero ↓

63'

Vardy ↑ ·

Sanabria ↓

74'

Djuric ↑ ·

Pezzella ↓

74'

Faye ↑ ·

Zerbin ↓

📊 Statistics

ROM 3 – 0 CRE

58%

Possession (%)

42%

2.00

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.07

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 3 – 0

24'

▮

Morten Thorsby

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

N. El Aynaoui ↓ · D. Ghilardi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

49'

⇄

W. Bondo ↓ · M. Payero ↑

Substitution 1

L. Venturino ↓ · B. Zaragoza ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

56'

B. Cristante

Assist · L. Pellegrini · 1–0

⚽

59'

63'

⇄

J. Vardy ↓ · A. Sanabria ↑

Substitution 2

Neil El Aynaoui

Yellow Card

▮

66'

N. Pisilli ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

74'

⇄

M. Djuric ↓ · G. Pezzella ↑

Substitution 3

74'

⇄

M. Faye ↓ · A. Zerbin ↑

Substitution 4

E. Ndicka

Assist · B. Cristante · 2–0

⚽

77'

J. Ziolkowski ↓ · Z. Celik ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

N. Pisilli

3–0

⚽

86'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

AS Roma beat Cremonese 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.00 to 0.07. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 2, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1.

On the scoresheet: B. Cristante (59'), E. Ndicka (77'), N. Pisilli (86').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.03 units (Brier 0.091).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.92	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.62	—	61%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.47	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.02	—	43%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Home Win	1.41	—	73%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.65	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	93%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.10	—	73%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	77%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Draw	5.09	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	90%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.43	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	68%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	10.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.03u	−35% ROI