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Home › Italy › Serie A › AS Roma — Cremonese

Predictions by Market: AS Roma vs Cremonese

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 19:45
3:0
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Marco Di Bello, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ROM
73%
Best 1.34
Draw
20%
Best 5.00
Away Win · CRE
7%
Best 9.50
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 11.00
Fair odds
9.92
book 11.00 · +10.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 10% · EV +10.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (90%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.6%
Odds 5.09
Show model details
Implied probability 19.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.1%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.4%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42.6%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.1%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.9%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 22.7%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.4%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.1%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.43
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
ROM – CRE @ 11.00
+10.9%
Edge
Forecast →