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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Parma

Match Atalanta vs Parma January 25, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 14:00
4:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.17 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.85 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.06 ✗
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
4.07 – 1.38
Δ +2.69
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.17 — +11.5% better than the market.

Atalanta enters this Serie A clash with clear home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a strong attacking edge against Parma's defense. Their compact block and pressing intensity at New Balance Arena should challenge Parma's less potent offense. Parma's form shows resilience but lacks the cutting edge to consistently threaten Atalanta's well-organized defense.

  • Home side's superior quality and home advantage
  • Atalanta's attacking pressure vs Parma's defensive frailties
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.17 ✗ Lost
AI 51% Implied 46% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ATA 3-4-2-1 · PAR 3-5-1-1
ATA · 3-4-2-1 3-5-1-1 · PAR 29 Carnesecchi 42 Scalvini 19 Djimsiti 69 Ahanor 77 Zappacosta 15 Roon ⚽ 13 Éderson 59 Zalewski 17 Ketelaere 18 Raspadori ⚽ 9 Scamacca ⚽ 40 Corvi 39 Circati 37 Troilo 5 Valenti 27 Britschgi 16 Keita 10 Bernabé 8 Estévez 15 Prato 22 Sørensen 7 Benedyczak
Subs used · ATA
46' Hien ↑ · Djimsiti ↓
60' Bernasconi ↑ · Zalewski ↓
60' Krstovic ↑ · Scamacca ↓
72' Pasalic ↑ · De Ketelaere ↓
78' Lookman ↑ · De Roon ↓
Subs used · PAR
46' Pellegrino ↑ · Benedyczak ↓
46' Valeri ↑ · Circati ↓
46' Oristanio ↑ · Estevez ↓
64' Ondrejka ↑ · Sorensen ↓
85' Ordonez ↑ · Keita ↓

📊 Statistics

ATA 4 – 0 PAR
49%
Possession (%)
51%
4.07
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.38
21
Total Shots
15
9
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
8
15
Shots Inside Box
9
6
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
8
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

15 · 4 – 0
G. Scamacca (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
15'
M. De Roon
Assist · C. De Ketelaere · 2–0
⚽
24'
Half-time · 2 – 0
I. Hien ↓ · B. Djimsiti ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
46'
⇄
M. Pellegrino ↓ · A. Benedyczak ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
E. Valeri ↓ · A. Circati ↑
Substitution 2
46'
⇄
G. Oristanio ↓ · N. Estevez ↑
Substitution 3
Gianluca Scamacca
Yellow Card
▮
53'
L. Bernasconi ↓ · N. Zalewski ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
N. Krstovic ↓ · G. Scamacca ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
60'
64'
⇄
J. Ondrejka ↓ · O. Sorensen ↑
Substitution 4
M. Pasalic ↓ · C. De Ketelaere ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
G. Raspadori
Assist · N. Krstovic · 3–0
⚽
73'
A. Lookman ↓ · M. De Roon ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
78'
85'
⇄
C. Ordonez ↓ · M. Keita ↑
Substitution 5
N. Krstovic
4–0
⚽
90'
Full-time · 4 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.17 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.85 — 55% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.06 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 — 49% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.45 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.45 — 72% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.11 — 91% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.10 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.95 — 27% Cashed +1.95 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.12 — 72% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.50 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.94 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 — 73% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Away Win 8.50 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.42u −26% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
ATA – PAR @ 2.17
+11.5%
Edge
Forecast →