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Home › Italy › Serie A › Atalanta — Parma

Predictions by Market: Atalanta vs Parma

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 14:00
4:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
New Balance Arena · Bergamo Referee Juan Luca Sacchi, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ATA
72%
Best 1.40
Draw
20%
Best 4.68
Away Win · PAR
9%
Best 7.91
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 14.50
Fair odds
12.74
book 14.50 · +13.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 8% · EV +13.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (92%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 19.9%
Odds 4.94
Show model details
Implied probability 20.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 8.6%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 8.6%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
ATA – PAR @ 14.50
+13.8%
Edge
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