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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A AC Milan — Genoa

Match AC Milan vs Genoa January 8, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Thu 08 Jan · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 47% · book 2.36
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.09
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 1.86
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
2.32 – 1.32
Δ +1.00
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AC Milan arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Genoa. Their potent attack faces a Genoa defense that has struggled, suggesting Milan’s pressing and creativity could dominate. Genoa’s recent form shows signs of recovery but remains inconsistent, likely to face a compact Milan block aiming to control the game tempo.

  • Home advantage with a strong defensive record
  • Superior offensive firepower against a vulnerable defense
  • Genoa’s patchy form may limit their attacking threat

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MIL 3-5-2 · GEN 3-5-2
Subs used · MIL
46' Loftus-Cheek ↑ · Fofana
65' Fullkrug ↑ · Saelemaekers
75' Athekame ↑ · Gabbia
Subs used · GEN
64' Masini ↑ · Thorsby
64' E. Ellertsson ↑ · Malinovskyi
75' Ekhator ↑ · Vitinha
83' Stanciu ↑ · Martin
83' Otoa ↑ · Colombo

📊 Statistics

MIL 11 GEN
61%
Possession (%)
39%
2.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.32
32
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
2
9
Shots off Target
3
25
Shots Inside Box
5
12
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
8
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
3
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
28'
L. Colombo
Assist · R. Malinovskyi · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
R. Loftus-Cheek ↓ · Y. Fofana ↑
Substitution 1
46'
64'
P. Masini ↓ · M. Thorsby ↑
Substitution 1
64'
M. E. Ellertsson ↓ · R. Malinovskyi ↑
Substitution 2
N. Fullkrug ↓ · A. Saelemaekers ↑
Substitution 2
65'
Matteo Gabbia
Yellow Card
70'
Z. Athekame ↓ · M. Gabbia ↑
Substitution 3
75'
75'
J. Ekhator ↓ · Vitinha ↑
Substitution 3
80'
Nicola Leali
Yellow Card
83'
N. Stanciu ↓ · A. Martin ↑
Substitution 4
83'
S. Otoa ↓ · L. Colombo ↑
Substitution 5
R. Leao
1–1
90'
Mike Maignan
Yellow Card
90+7'
Strahinja Pavlović
Yellow Card
90+7'
Fikayo Tomori
Yellow Card
90+9'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.36 47% Cashed +1.36 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.09 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.86 49% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS No 1.63 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.47 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.75 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 92% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.99 29% Cashed +1.99 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.14 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.36 75% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 92% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 4.66 21% Cashed +3.66 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.31 70% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 9.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.75 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.29u −2% ROI