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Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Genoa

Predictions by Market: AC Milan vs Genoa

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Thu 08 Jan · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIL
71%
Best 1.49
Draw
21%
Best 4.05
Away Win · GEN
8%
Best 7.90
Value pick
BTTS Yes
@ 2.36
Fair odds
2.11
book 2.36 · +11.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +11.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS No is more likely (53%), but BTTS Yes is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.8%
Odds 4.66
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 8.2%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.5%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.6%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.3%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.7%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 8.2%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 29%
Odds 2.99
Show model details
Implied probability 33.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS Yes
MIL – GEN @ 2.36
+11.9%
Edge
Forecast →