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Home Italy Serie A Atalanta — AS Roma

Match Atalanta vs AS Roma January 3, 2026 — Result and Stats

Italy   /   Serie A
Atalanta
Atalanta
Home · last 5 L D W L D
Kick-off
Sat 03 Jan · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Gewiss Stadium · Bergamo Referee Michael Fabbri, Italy
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 65% · book 1.67
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.16
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.04
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.88 – 0.78
Δ +1.10
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atalanta hosts AS Roma in a Serie A clash where defensive solidity could be key. Roma's stronger defensive profile and slight quality edge suggest they can contain Atalanta's attack, which has shown signs of inconsistency recently. Both sides have comparable form, but Atalanta's home momentum and slightly better recent points per game hint at a tight contest.

  • Roma’s compact defensive block challenges Atalanta’s offensive attempts
  • Atalanta’s home edge offers pressing and set-piece opportunities
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline over open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATA 3-4-2-1 · ROM 3-4-2-1
Subs used · ATA
26' Ahanor ↑ · Kolasinac
59' Hien ↑ · Scalvini
59' Musah ↑ · Zalewski
72' Maldini ↑ · Ederson
72' Krstovic ↑ · Scamacca
Subs used · ROM
46' Franca ↑ · Ziolkowski
60' Dovbyk ↑ · Ferguson
60' Tsimikas ↑ · Rensch
66' El Shaarawy ↑ · Soule
83' Pisilli ↑ · Kone

📊 Statistics

ATA 10 ROM
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.78
13
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
15
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

14 · 1 – 0
G. Scalvini
Assist · N. Zalewski · 1–0
12'
Marten de Roon
Yellow Card
19'
H. Ahanor ↓ · S. Kolasinac ↑
Substitution 1
26'
43'
Gianluca Mancini
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
Wesley Franca ↓ · J. Ziolkowski ↑
Substitution 1
45+3'
Mario Hermoso
Yellow Card
I. Hien ↓ · G. Scalvini ↑
Substitution 2
59'
Y. Musah ↓ · N. Zalewski ↑
Substitution 3
59'
60'
A. Dovbyk ↓ · E. Ferguson ↑
Substitution 2
60'
K. Tsimikas ↓ · D. Rensch ↑
Substitution 3
66'
S. El Shaarawy ↓ · M. Soule ↑
Substitution 4
D. Maldini ↓ · Ederson ↑
Substitution 4
72'
N. Krstovic ↓ · G. Scamacca ↑
Substitution 5
72'
83'
N. Pisilli ↓ · M. Kone ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Atalanta beat AS Roma 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.88 to 0.78. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: G. Scalvini (12').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.02 units (Brier 0.231).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.67 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.16 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.04 48% Cashed +1.04 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.81 53% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.83 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.43 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.36 35% Cashed +1.36 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.62 35% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Away Win 3.48 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 63% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.95 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 91% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.37 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 28% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Draw 3.32 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.02u −12% ROI